Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (10.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.