Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio 15 de Abril

Rosario Central vs Club Libertad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 1.00am
UCV 0 - 3 Rosario

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
Libertad 2 - 3 Independiente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rosario Central win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Club Libertad has a probability of 29.43% and a draw has a probability of 28.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest Club Libertad win is 0-1 (10.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.23%).

Result

Rosario Central 42.52% (+0.04)
Draw 28.05% (-0.01)
Club Libertad 29.43% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.87% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 34.55% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 38.71% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 61.29% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 18.25% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 81.75% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.21% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.79% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rosario Central 30.62% (+0.02)
Draw 46.61% (+0.01)
Club Libertad 22.78% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Rosario Central 48.32% (-0.09)
No Goal 10.63% (-0.01)
Club Libertad 41.05% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 44.15% (-0.26)
Equal 8 12.46% (-0.03)
Under 8 43.4% (+0.30)
Over 9 32.75% (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.4% (-0.05)
Under 9 55.85% (+0.26)
Over 10.5 23.17% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 76.83% (+0.15)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 1.5 34.8% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.2% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.75% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.25% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.24% (-0.02)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5 60.08% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 39.92% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 24.63% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 75.37% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.76% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.24% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.95% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.05% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Rosario Central 42.54%
Draw 28.05%
Club Libertad 29.43%
Rosario Central
1-0 @ 13.38% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.52% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.41%
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.74% (+0.02)
Total : 42.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.23% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.63% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 28.05%
Club Libertad
0-1 @ 10.56%
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.93% (-0.02)
Total : 29.43%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz
  • Iván Franco 46' yellowcard
  • Amin Molinas 58' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Aguilar 74' yellowcard
  • Oscar Rodrigo Alexander Acuña Vera 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Copetti 58'
  • yellowcard Pol Fernández 70'
  • yellowcard Alexis Soto 70'
  • goal Enzo Copetti 83'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 87'
  • yellowcard Carlos Quintana 87'
Copa Libertadores
May 8, 2019 11.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joaquin Pereyra 20' goal
  • Claudio Riano 71' goal
  • Washington Camacho 80' yellowcard
  • Washington Camacho 85' redcard
  • yellowcard Blas Caceres 12'
  • goal Oscar Cardozo 50'
  • yellowcard Ivan Piris 62'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 5, 2019 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mathias Espinoza 47' goal
  • Jorge Recalde 69' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo Ortiz 3'
  • redcard Marcelo Ortiz 75'
  • yellowcard Washington Camacho 79'
  • yellowcard Fernando Zampedri 81'