Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz

Club Libertad vs Independiente del Valle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
Libertad 0 - 1 Rosario

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
Independiente 3 - 1 UCV

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Club Libertad has a probability of 33.47% and a draw has a probability of 26.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Club Libertad win is 1-0 (9.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).

Result

Club Libertad 33.47% (+0.86)
Draw 26.62% (+0.20)
Independiente del Valle 39.92% (-1.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.89% (+1.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.08% (+1.22)
Under 1.5 27.92% (-1.22)
Over 2.5 46.96% (+1.21)
Under 2.5 53.04% (-1.18)
Over 3.5 24.97% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 75.03% (-0.58)
Over 4.5 13.38% (+0.49)
Under 4.5 86.62% (-0.48)

First Half Winner

Club Libertad 23.07% (+0.40)
Draw 44.89% (-1.30)
Independiente del Valle 32.04% (+0.90)

Team To Score First

Club Libertad 41.68% (+2.40)
No Goal 8.14% (-0.25)
Independiente del Valle 50.18% (-2.17)

Corners

Over 8 46.65% (+0.61)
Equal 8 12.36% (-0.14)
Under 8 40.99% (-0.48)
Over 9 35.11% (+0.68)
Equal 9 11.54% (-0.07)
Under 9 53.35% (-0.61)
Over 10.5 25.22% (+0.67)
Under 10.5 74.78% (-0.68)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 1.5 32.29% (+1.13)
Under 1.5 67.71% (-1.14)
Over 2.5 11.91% (+0.74)
Under 2.5 88.09% (-0.73)
Over 3.5 3.4% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 96.6% (-0.18)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 70.97% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 29.03% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 37.59% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 62.41% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 14.8% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 85.2% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 4.79% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 95.21% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Club Libertad 33.46%
Draw 26.62%
Independiente del Valle 39.93%
Club Libertad
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.44% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 5.59% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.08% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.52% (+0.32)
3-2 @ 2.04% (+0.13)
Other @ 3.32% (+0.14)
Total : 33.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.99% (+0.19)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.03)
Total : 26.62%
Independiente del Valle
0-1 @ 10.32% (-0.90)
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 3.25% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.71% (+0.17)
Total : 39.93%