Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.