Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz
  • Lorenzo Melgarejo 38' goal
  • Marcelo Fernandez 46' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Aguilar 64' yellowcard
  • Amin Molinas 64' yellowcard
  • Iván Ramírez 72' yellowcard
  • Matías Rojas 72' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Melgarejo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos González 33'
  • goal Carlos González 51'
  • goal Carlos González 65'
  • yellowcard Emerson Pata 70'
  • yellowcard Darwin Guagua 70'
  • yellowcard Youri José Ochoa Sampertegui 77'
  • yellowcard Jhegson Méndez 77'
  • yellowcard Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced 81'

Club Libertad vs Independiente del Valle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
Libertad 0 - 1 Rosario

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
Independiente 3 - 1 UCV

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result

Club Libertad 33.38% (-0.09)
Draw 26.64% (+0.02)
Independiente del Valle 40.01% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.9% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.14% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 27.86% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 47.05% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 52.95% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 25.02% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 74.98% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 13.4% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.6% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Club Libertad 23.04% (-0.04)
Draw 44.9% (+0.01)
Independiente del Valle 32.07% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Club Libertad 41.62% (-0.07)
No Goal 8.12% (-0.03)
Independiente del Valle 50.26% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 46.46% (-0.19)
Equal 8 12.35% (-0.01)
Under 8 41.19% (+0.20)
Over 9 34.95% (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.51% (-0.03)
Under 9 53.54% (+0.19)
Over 10.5 25.1% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 74.9% (+0.13)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 1.5 32.26% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.74% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.89% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.11% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.39% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.61% (+0.02)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 71.07% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 28.93% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 37.69% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 62.31% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 14.85% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 85.15% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.81% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Club Libertad 33.37%
Draw 26.63%
Independiente del Valle 40.01%
Club Libertad
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.44%
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.31% (-0.01)
Total : 33.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.63%
Independiente del Valle
0-1 @ 10.32%
1-2 @ 8.8% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.28% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 4.73% (+0.03)
Total : 40.01%