Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.06% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%) , while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.