Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 43.62%. A draw had a probability of 29.35% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.56%) , while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.