Brasileiro Gameweek 15
May 10, 2026 10.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Raniele 17' goal
  • Matheuzinho 52' goal
  • Breno Bidon 57' goal
  • Dieguinho 83' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Labyad 88' yellowcard
  • Pedro Raul 88' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano 41'
  • yellowcard Cauly 69'
  • yellowcard Luan 69'
  • yellowcard Wendell 83'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • goal Matheuzinho 89' (OG)
  • yellowcard André Silva 90'+2'
  • yellowcard André Silva 90'+3'

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2026 12.30am
Mirassol 2 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Breno Bidon

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 8.00pm
Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Bahia
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Luciano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 43.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.56% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%) , while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result

Corinthians 43.87%
Draw 28.56%
Sao Paulo 27.6% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.92% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.94% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 33.06% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 40.74%
Under 2.5 59.22% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 19.24%
Under 3.5 80.76%
Over 4.5 9.57%
Under 4.5 90.43%

First Half Winner

Corinthians 35.09%
Draw 46.21%
Sao Paulo 18.69%

Team To Score First

Corinthians 54.62%
No Goal 10.23%
Sao Paulo 35.15%

Corners

Over 8 62.72%
Equal 8 11.39%
Under 8 25.89%
Over 9 50.61%
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 37.28%
Over 10.5 38.88%
Under 10.5 61.12%

Corinthians Goals

Over 1.5 36.91% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.09% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.55% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.45% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.04%
Under 3.5 95.96%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 60.45% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 39.55% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.87% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.13% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 7.66% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.34% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.79%
Under 3.5 98.21%

Score analysis

Corinthians 43.87%
Draw 28.55%
Sao Paulo 27.6%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 13.34% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 8.38%
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 43.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 28.55%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 9.51% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 27.6%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 20, 2025 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 20, 2025 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 29, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nacional de Brasilia
  • Luis Zubeldia 29' yellowcard
  • Luciano 39' yellowcard
  • Igor Coronado 52' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 45'+8' goal
  • Charles 69' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 76' goal
  • Alan Franco 87' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 90'+8' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fagner 28'
  • yellowcard Igor Coronado 48'
  • redcard Fagner 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 45'+11'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 64'
  • redcard Andre Ramalho 64'
  • goal Yuri Alberto 83'
  • yellowcard Pedro Henrique 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Antonio Oliveira 22' yellowcard
  • Igor Coronado 31' goal
  • Luciano 42' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Silva 45'+2' goal
  • Caetano 69' yellowcard
  • Caetano 78' redcard
  • Breno Bidon 82' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Moura 4'
  • yellowcard Young Navarro Moraes 4'
  • yellowcard Diego 21'
  • goal Caca 41' (OG)
  • yellowcard Carlos Miguel 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Moura 83'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Sep 30, 2023 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Wellington Rato 24' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 40' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 45'+2' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Lucas Beraldo 52' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 55' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Neves 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Angel Romero 3'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 33'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Silva 38'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 16, 2023 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Wellington Rato 13' goal
  • Lucas Moura 32' goal
  • yellowcard Murillo 68'
  • yellowcard Gil 90'+9'