Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín

Santa Fe vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Fe

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 11.00pm
Platense 2 - 1 Santa Fe

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 1, 2026 1.00am
Corinthians 2 - 0 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santa Fe win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Corinthians has a probability of 33.13% and a draw has a probability of 28.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Corinthians win is 0-1 (10.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.31%).

Result

Santa Fe 38.81% (+2.95)
Draw 28.06% (-1.15)
Corinthians 33.13% (-1.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.41% (+1.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.9% (+1.46)
Under 1.5 33.1% (-1.45)
Over 2.5 40.37% (+1.41)
Under 2.5 59.63% (-1.41)
Over 3.5 19.6% (+0.80)
Under 3.5 80.4% (-0.79)
Over 4.5 10.01% (+0.48)
Under 4.5 89.99% (-0.47)

First Half Winner

Santa Fe 30.81% (+1.01)
Draw 48.53% (-0.58)
Corinthians 20.66% (-0.43)

Team To Score First

Santa Fe 52.11% (+2.11)
No Goal 10.09% (-0.94)
Corinthians 37.8% (-1.17)

Corners

Over 8 43.73% (-1.53)
Equal 8 12.14% (-0.28)
Under 8 44.13% (+1.81)
Over 9 32.66% (-1.17)
Equal 9 11.06% (-0.37)
Under 9 56.27% (+1.53)
Over 10.5 23.38% (-0.80)
Under 10.5 76.62% (+0.80)

Santa Fe Goals

Over 1.5 32.91% (+2.67)
Under 1.5 67.09% (-2.68)
Over 2.5 11.63% (+1.41)
Under 2.5 88.37% (-1.41)
Over 3.5 3.43% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 96.57% (-0.47)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 63.71% (-0.81)
Under 0.5 36.29% (+0.82)
Over 1.5 28.65% (-0.97)
Under 1.5 71.35% (+0.96)
Over 2.5 9.97% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 90.03% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 2.69% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 97.31% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Santa Fe 38.82%
Draw 28.05%
Corinthians 33.12%
Santa Fe
1-0 @ 12.26% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.05% (+0.59)
2-0 @ 7.49% (+0.65)
3-0 @ 3.03% (+0.39)
3-1 @ 2.96% (+0.38)
3-2 @ 1.62% (+0.23)
Other @ 3.41% (+0.56)
Total : 38.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 10.09% (-0.94)
2-2 @ 4.04% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.09)
Total : 28.05%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.68)
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.48)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.23)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.67% (-0.17)
Total : 33.12%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Raniele 51' goal
  • André Carrillo 76' yellowcard
  • Allan 76' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Henrique 80' goal
  • Jesse Lingard 81' yellowcard
  • Pedro Raul 86' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Labyad 86' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Labyad 87' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edwin Mosquera 77'
  • yellowcard Franco Fagúndez 77'
  • yellowcard Franco Fagúndez 79'
  • yellowcard Alexis Zapata 87'
  • yellowcard 87'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Bustos 87'