Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 0-1 (10.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.