Copa Sudamericana
Gameweek
3
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fsaoplog.png)
-
Darwin Quintero
66'
-
Danovis Banguero
77'
-
Beckham Castro
77'
-
Julián Angulo
86'
-
Stiven Vega
86'
-
Damián Bobadilla
56'
-
Ferreirinha
56'
-
Wendell
62'
-
Wendell
63'
-
Lucca
70'
-
Felipe Negrucci
70'
Millonarios vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F04%2F1000945738-69efdb15384d1564487018.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result
Millonarios
40.48%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
28.65%
Sao Paulo
30.83%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
44.13%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
65.96%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
34.04%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
39.3%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
60.7%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
18.93%
Under 3.5
81.07%
Over 4.5
9.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
90.3%
▲
(+0.01)
First Half Winner
Millonarios
35.49%
Draw
44.82%
Sao Paulo
19.7%
Team To Score First
Millonarios
54.87%
No Goal
10.39%
Sao Paulo
34.74%
Corners
Over 8
55.3%
▲
(+0.08)
Equal 8
11.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
33.3%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 9
43.9%
▲
(+0.08)
Equal 9
11.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
44.7%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 10.5
33.42%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 10.5
66.58%
▼
(-0.07)
Millonarios Goals
Over 1.5
34.11%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
65.89%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
12.11%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
87.89%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
3.85%
Under 3.5
96.15%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5
61.67%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
38.33%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
26.33%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
73.67%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
8.99%
Under 2.5
91.01%
Over 3.5
2.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
97.61%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Millonarios
40.49%
Draw
28.65%
Sao Paulo
30.83%
Millonarios
1-0
@
12.89%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-0 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 40.49%
2-1 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-0 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 40.49%
Draw
1-1
@
13.36%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 28.65%
0-0 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 28.65%
Sao Paulo
0-1
@
10.73%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30.83%
1-2 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30.83%