Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín

Millonarios vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Millonarios

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
Millonarios 1 - 0 Boston River

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 11.00pm
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 O'Higgins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millonarios win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Sao Paulo has a probability of 30.87% and a draw has a probability of 28.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win is 0-1 (10.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.37%).

Result

Millonarios 40.51% (-0.09)
Draw 28.65% (+0.08)
Sao Paulo 30.87% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.17% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.01% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 33.99% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 39.33% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 60.67% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 18.93% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 81.07% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 9.71% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 90.29% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Millonarios 35.49% (-0.04)
Draw 44.82% (-0.01)
Sao Paulo 19.7% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Millonarios 54.87%
No Goal 10.39% (+0.06)
Sao Paulo 34.74% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 55.22% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.4%
Under 8 33.38% (+0.09)
Over 9 43.83% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.39% (-0.01)
Under 9 44.78% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 33.36% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 66.64% (+0.07)

Millonarios Goals

Over 1.5 34.13% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 65.87% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 12.12% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 87.88% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.85% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.15% (+0.04)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 61.72%
Under 0.5 38.28%
Over 1.5 26.35% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.65% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 8.99% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.01% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.4% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.6% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Millonarios 40.53%
Draw 28.65%
Sao Paulo 30.86%
Millonarios
1-0 @ 12.9% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.67% (-0.04)
Total : 40.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.37% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.39% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 28.65%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 10.74% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.27% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22% (-0.01)
Total : 30.86%