Copa Sudamericana
-
Nicolás Santiago Rodríguez Calderón
28'
-
Cristian Arango
46'
-
Marlos Moreno
58'
-
Juan Bauzá
70'
-
Dairon Asprilla
87'
-
Rodrigo Contreras
21'
-
Leonardo Castro
42'
-
Danovis Banguero
63'
-
Stiven Vega
74'
-
Rodrigo Contreras
75'
-
Beckham Castro
79'
-
Edgar Elizalde
79'
Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.34% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%) , while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result
Atletico Nacional
56.47%
Draw
23.34%
▲
(+0.04)
Millonarios
20.19%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
49.49%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.74%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
25.26%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
50.51%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
49.49%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
28.06%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
71.91%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
16.7%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
83.3%
▲
(+0.05)
First Half Winner
Atletico Nacional
43.73%
Draw
39.57%
Millonarios
16.7%
Team To Score First
Atletico Nacional
66.25%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
6.92%
▲
(+0.02)
Millonarios
26.83%
Corners
Over 8
47.85%
Equal 8
12.1%
Under 8
40.05%
Over 9
36.44%
Equal 9
11.41%
Under 9
52.15%
Over 10.5
26.55%
Under 10.5
73.45%
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 1.5
51.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
48.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
24.89%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
75.11%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
10.01%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
89.99%
▲
(+0.01)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5
54.63%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
45.37%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
22.06%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
77.94%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
6.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
93.15%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
1.83%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
98.17%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Atletico Nacional
56.47%
Draw
23.34%
Millonarios
20.19%
Atletico Nacional
1-0
@
12.15%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.3% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.06%
3-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 56.47%
2-0 @ 10.3% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.06%
3-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 56.47%
Draw
1-1
@
11.04%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.34%
0-0 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.34%
Millonarios
0-1
@
6.19%
1-2 @ 5.19%
0-2 @ 2.89%
1-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 20.19%
1-2 @ 5.19%
0-2 @ 2.89%
1-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 20.19%