Copa Libertadores
May 28, 2025 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Luciano Boggio 3' yellowcard
  • Paolo Fabrizio Calione Fuentes 31' yellowcard
  • Lucas Morales 43' yellowcard
  • Christian Oliva 88' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Jose Arias 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Stiven Viveros Rodallega 77'

Nacional vs Atletico Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 15, 2025 11.00pm
Nacional 0 - 2 Internacional

Atletico Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 14, 2025 11.00pm
Atletico Nacional 1 - 0 Bahia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an Atletico Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result

Nacional 49.24% (+0.18)
Draw 25.55% (-0.01)
Atletico Nacional 25.21% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.39% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.29% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 52.71% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 25.66% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 74.34% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 11.78% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 88.22% (+0.06)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 78.58% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 21.42% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 45.57% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 54.43% (-0.06)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 64.12% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 35.88% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 27.35% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 72.65% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Nacional 49.24%
Draw 25.54%
Atletico Nacional 25.21%
Nacional
1-0 @ 11.84% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.35% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.12% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.8% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.69% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 49.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.69% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.54%
Atletico Nacional
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 25.21%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 3, 2025 3.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Marino Hinestroza 45'+2' goal
  • Kevin Stiven Viveros Rodallega 55' goal
  • Alfredo Morelos 72' goal
  • Faber Andres Gil Mosquera 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremia Recoba 59'
Copa Libertadores
May 13, 2021 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Yerson Candelo 33' yellowcard
  • Danovis Banguero 39' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 46' yellowcard
  • Jarlan Barrera 63' yellowcard
  • Geisson Perea 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Laborda 40'
  • yellowcard Facundo Piriz 59'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Trasante 62'
  • redcard Camilo Candido 62'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Bergessio 63'
  • redcard Felipe Carballo 87'
  • yellowcard Brian Ocampo 90'+4'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 28, 2021 11.00pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 12' goal
  • Emiliano Martinez 17' yellowcard
  • Guzman Corujo 42' redcard
  • Leandro Fernandez 45'+4' goal
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 51' goal
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 64' goal
  • Maximiliano Cantera 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jarlan Barrera 8'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 44'
  • goal Andres Andrade 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Duque 57'
  • yellowcard Danovis Banguero 71'
  • goal Renzo Orihuela 74' (OG)
  • goal Jarlan Barrera 85'
  • yellowcard Alex Castro 90'+3'