Brasileiro Gameweek 16
May 16, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • John Kennedy 19' goal
  • Agustín Canobbio 44' goal
  • Rodrigo Castillo 61' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 61' yellowcard
  • Facundo Bernal  83' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ferreirinha 64'
  • yellowcard Luan 76'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Tapia 77'
  • goal Matheus Dória 79'
  • yellowcard Cédric Soares 90'+5'

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 10.00pm
Fluminense 2 - 2 Vitoria
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 10.30pm
Corinthians 3 - 2 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Luciano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.38% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%) , while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 58.57% (-0.15)
Draw 24.38% (+0.02)
Sao Paulo 17.02% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.02% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.15% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 28.85% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 45.46% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 54.54% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 23.2% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 76.8% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.12% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 86.88% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 40.47% (-0.06)
Draw 44.28% (+0.03)
Sao Paulo 15.25% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Fluminense 64.88% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.19% (-0.06)
Sao Paulo 26.93% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 52.52% (+0.14)
Equal 8 12.26% (+0.01)
Under 8 35.22% (-0.15)
Over 9 40.54% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.98% (+0.02)
Under 9 47.48% (-0.14)
Over 10.5 29.81% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 70.19% (-0.08)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 49.87% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.13% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 22.76% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.24% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.46% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.54% (+0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 51.07% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 48.93% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 17.44% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 82.56% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 4.43% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 95.57% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 0.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.09% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Fluminense 58.57%
Draw 24.38%
Sao Paulo 17.02%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 14.3% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 11.66% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 10.57% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.36% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-2 @ 2.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.39% (-0.01)
Total : 58.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.87% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.38%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.56% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.84% (+0.02)
Total : 17.02%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 27, 2025 11.30pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Agustin Canobbio 9' goal
  • Martinelli 16' goal
  • Nonato 24' goal
  • John Kennedy 69' goal
  • Agustin Canobbio 72' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 77' goal
  • Kevin Serna 87' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Jul 27, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Sep 1, 2024 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 31' goal
  • Thiago 50' yellowcard
  • Facundo Bernal 58' yellowcard
  • Keno 80' yellowcard
  • Thiago Silva 86' yellowcard
  • Keno 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Rafinha 32'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Calleri 38'
  • yellowcard Damian Bobadilla 42'
  • yellowcard Welington 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 14, 2024 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Rodrigo Nestor 9' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 9' yellowcard
  • Damian Bobadilla 32' goal
  • Damian Bobadilla 33' goal
  • Alisson 34' yellowcard
  • Alisson 34' yellowcard
  • Luciano 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Luciano 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 59' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 59' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 84' goal
  • Robert Arboleda 84' goal
  • Erick 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Erick 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manoel 24'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 24'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 24'
  • yellowcard Manoel 25'
  • goal Igor Vinicius 29' (OG)
  • goal Igor Vinicius 29' (OG)
  • redcard Fernando Diniz 45'+7'
  • redcard Fernando Diniz 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 56'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 23, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • <TBD> 10' goal
  • Guga 13' yellowcard
  • Guga 13' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 17' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 17' yellowcard
  • Ganso 20' yellowcard
  • Ganso 20' yellowcard
  • German Cano 28' yellowcard
  • German Cano 28' yellowcard
  • Martinelli 47' yellowcard
  • Martinelli 47' yellowcard
  • German Cano 54' goal
  • German Cano 54' goal
  • Alexsander 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Alexsander 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 9'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 9'
  • yellowcard Diego 20'
  • yellowcard Diego 20'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 28'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 28'
  • redcard Gabriel Neves 29'
  • redcard Gabriel Neves 29'
  • yellowcard David 60'
  • yellowcard David 60'
  • yellowcard Nathan Mendes 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Nathan Mendes 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 87' goal