Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.38% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%) , while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.