Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.28% and a win for Operario Ferroviario had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%) , while for a Operario Ferroviario win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.