Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 35.87%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 29.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (11.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.