Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.65% and a win for Aguia de Maraba had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Aguia de Maraba win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.