Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aguia de Maraba win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.31% and a win for Madureira had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aguia de Maraba win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Madureira win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.