Copa do Brasil
Feb 25, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT :
1
0
FT
Estádio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira
-
Paulo Henrique
43'
-
Gustavo Vintecinco
75'
Aguia de Maraba vs Independencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aguia de Maraba win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.39% and a win for Independencia had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aguia de Maraba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Independencia win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result
Aguia de Maraba
54.32%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
23.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Independencia
22.34%
Both Teams to Score:
53.15%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.61%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
22.39%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
55.1%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
44.9%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
32.62%
Under 3.5
67.38%
Over 4.5
19.68%
Under 4.5
80.32%
First Half Winner
Aguia de Maraba
40.14%
Draw
41.28%
Independencia
18.58%
Team To Score First
Aguia de Maraba
60.36%
No Goal
6.07%
▲
(+0.02)
Independencia
33.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
60.5%
Equal 8
10.72%
Under 8
28.78%
Over 9
49.35%
Equal 9
11.15%
Under 9
39.5%
Over 10.5
38.66%
Under 10.5
61.34%
Aguia de Maraba Goals
Over 1.5
52.35%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
47.65%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
26.56%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
73.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
11.16%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
88.84%
▼
(-0.01)
Independencia Goals
Over 0.5
58.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
41.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
25.86%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
74.14%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
8.9%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
91.1%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
2.73%
Under 3.5
97.27%
Score analysis
Aguia de Maraba
54.32%
Draw
23.4%
Independencia
22.33%
Aguia de Maraba
1-0
@
10.33%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.98%
2-0 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.62%
3-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 10.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 54.32%
2-1 @ 9.98%
2-0 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.62%
3-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 10.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 54.32%
Draw
1-1
@
10.8%
0-0 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.4%
0-0 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.4%
Independencia
0-1
@
6.04%
1-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 22.33%