Copa do Brasil
Feb 25, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
LIVE Estádio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira
  • Paulo Henrique 43' goal

Aguia de Maraba vs Independencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aguia de Maraba

All competitions

Independencia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aguia de Maraba win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw has a probability of 23.39% and a win for Independencia has a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aguia de Maraba win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Independencia win it is 0-1 (6.04%).

Result

Aguia de Maraba 54.32% (+0.07)
Draw 23.39% (-0.01)
Independencia 22.34%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.15% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.39% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.1% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.9% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 32.62%
Under 3.5 67.38%
Over 4.5 19.68%
Under 4.5 80.32%

First Half Winner

Aguia de Maraba 40.14%
Draw 41.28%
Independencia 18.58%

Team To Score First

Aguia de Maraba 60.36%
No Goal 6.07% (+0.02)
Independencia 33.57% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.5%
Equal 8 10.72%
Under 8 28.78%
Over 9 49.35%
Equal 9 11.15%
Under 9 39.5%
Over 10.5 38.66%
Under 10.5 61.34%

Aguia de Maraba Goals

Over 1.5 52.35% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 47.65% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 26.56% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 73.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.16% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.84% (-0.01)

Independencia Goals

Over 0.5 58.31% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 41.69% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.86% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.14% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.9% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.1% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.73%
Under 3.5 97.27%

Score analysis

Aguia de Maraba 54.32%
Draw 23.4%
Independencia 22.33%
Aguia de Maraba
1-0 @ 10.33% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.98%
2-0 @ 8.75% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.62%
3-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 10.97% (+0.01)
Total : 54.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 6.07% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.4%
Independencia
0-1 @ 6.04%
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 22.33%