Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 5
May 20, 2026 1.30am
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo vs Millonarios - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 7, 2026 11.00pm
O'Higgins 0 - 0 Sao Paulo

Millonarios

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 7, 2026 11.00pm
Boston River 2 - 4 Millonarios

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Millonarios has a probability of 25.93% and a draw has a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Millonarios win is 0-1 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.11%).

Result

Sao Paulo 48.88% (-0.01)
Draw 25.18% (-0.02)
Millonarios 25.93% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.46% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.88% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 25.12% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 50.5% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 49.5% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 27.72% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 72.27% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 15.73% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 84.27% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 32.19%
Draw 46.6% (+0.03)
Millonarios 21.21% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 55.04% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.97% (-0.02)
Millonarios 37.99% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.82%
Equal 8 10.74%
Under 8 24.44%
Over 9 53.23%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 35.18%
Over 10.5 41.79%
Under 10.5 58.21%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 46.14% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.86% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.84% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.16% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.8% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.2% (-0.04)

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5 61.26% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 38.74% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 27.31% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.69% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.28% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.72% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.46% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.54% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 48.88%
Draw 25.18%
Millonarios 25.94%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54%
Other @ 7.69% (+0.04)
Total : 48.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.18%
Millonarios
0-1 @ 7.27% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.68% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.35% (+0.02)
Total : 25.94%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2026 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
  • Darwin Quintero 66' yellowcard
  • Danovis Banguero 77' yellowcard
  • Beckham Castro 77' yellowcard
  • Julián Angulo 86' yellowcard
  • Stiven Vega 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damián Bobadilla 56'
  • yellowcard Ferreirinha 56'
  • yellowcard Wendell 62'
  • yellowcard Wendell 63'
  • yellowcard Lucca 70'
  • yellowcard Felipe Negrucci 70'