Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 5
May 20, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 9' goal
  • Wendell 63' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 76' yellowcard
  • Lucca 85' yellowcard
  • André Silva 85' yellowcard
  • Luan 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Álex Castro 58'
  • yellowcard Stiven Vega 76'
  • yellowcard Jorge Hurtado 76'
  • goal Jorge Hurtado 81'
  • yellowcard Danovis Banguero 85'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Contreras 88'

Sao Paulo vs Millonarios - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 7, 2026 11.00pm
O'Higgins 0 - 0 Sao Paulo

Millonarios

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 7, 2026 11.00pm
Boston River 2 - 4 Millonarios

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Millonarios had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Millonarios win was 0-1 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 49.1% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 25.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Millonarios 25.75% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.23% ▼ (-0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.75% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 25.25% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 50.3% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 49.7% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 27.66% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 72.34% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 15.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.33% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 32.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 46.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Millonarios 21.18% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 55.36% ▲ (+0.33)
No Goal 7.02% ▲ (+0.05)
Millonarios 37.62% ▼ (-0.38)

Corners

Over 8 64.61% ▼ (-0.21)
Equal 8 10.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 24.63% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 9 53.01% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 35.39% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 41.59% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 10.5 58.41% ▲ (+0.20)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 46.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 53.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 20.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.8%
Under 3.5 92.2%

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5 60.99% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 39.01% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 27.07% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 72.93% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 9.13% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 90.87% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.59% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 49.11%
Draw 25.15%
Millonarios 25.75%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.97% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54%
Other @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 49.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.15%
Millonarios
0-1 @ 7.27%
1-2 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 25.75%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2026 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
  • Darwin Quintero 66' yellowcard
  • Danovis Banguero 77' yellowcard
  • Beckham Castro 77' yellowcard
  • Julián Angulo 86' yellowcard
  • Stiven Vega 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damián Bobadilla 56'
  • yellowcard Ferreirinha 56'
  • yellowcard Wendell 62'
  • yellowcard Wendell 63'
  • yellowcard Lucca 70'
  • yellowcard Felipe Negrucci 70'