Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Bahia
May 10, 2026 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Cruzeiro
  • Luciano Juba 27' yellowcard
  • Everaldo 34' yellowcard
  • Ademir 46' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 61' yellowcard
  • Cristian Olivera 72' yellowcard
  • Michel Araújo 72' yellowcard
  • goal Kauã Moraes 41'
  • yellowcard Kaique Kenji 46'
  • yellowcard Kaio Jorge  62'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 72'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villalba 72'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva  78'
  • goal Kaique Kenji 86'

Bahia vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 8.00pm
Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Bahia
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 1.00am
Cruzeiro 1 - 3 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.95% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%) , while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Bahia 47.62% ▲ (+0.81)
Draw 26.95% ▲ (+0.72)
Cruzeiro 25.43% ▼ (-1.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.15% ▼ (-1.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.62% ▼ (-1.48)
Under 1.5 28.38% ▲ (+1.49)
Over 2.5 46.44% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 2.5 53.56% ▲ (+1.54)
Over 3.5 24.21% ▼ (-1.72)
Under 3.5 75.79% ▲ (+1.72)
Over 4.5 12.72% ▼ (-1.03)
Under 4.5 87.28% ▲ (+1.04)

First Half Winner

Bahia 37.72% ▲ (+1.04)
Draw 41.74% ▼ (-0.31)
Cruzeiro 20.54% ▼ (-0.73)

Team To Score First

Bahia 56.09% ▲ (+0.88)
No Goal 8.43% ▲ (+0.88)
Cruzeiro 35.48% ▼ (-1.75)

Corners

Over 8 52.1% ▼ (-1.75)
Equal 8 11.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 8 35.92% ▲ (+1.68)
Over 9 40.42% ▼ (-1.66)
Equal 9 11.68% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 47.9% ▲ (+1.75)
Over 10.5 29.96% ▼ (-1.47)
Under 10.5 70.04% ▲ (+1.47)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 43.02% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 1.5 56.98% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 2.5 18.02% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 81.98% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 6.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.89% ▼ (-0.04)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 60.61% ▼ (-1.83)
Under 0.5 39.39% ▲ (+1.83)
Over 1.5 25.93% ▼ (-2.02)
Under 1.5 74.07% ▲ (+2.01)
Over 2.5 7.95% ▼ (-1.20)
Under 2.5 92.05% ▲ (+1.19)
Over 3.5 1.91% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 3.5 98.09% ▲ (+0.38)

Score analysis

Bahia 47.62%
Draw 26.95%
Cruzeiro 25.42%
Bahia
1-0 @ 12.13% ▲ (+0.61)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 47.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.88)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 26.95%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.34)
2-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.33)
0-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.44)
Total : 25.42%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Bahia
Sep 16, 2025 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Cruzeiro
  • David Duarte 55' yellowcard
  • Jean Lucas 66' goal
  • yellowcard Christian 2'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 49'
  • goal Luis Sinisterra 77'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 86'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Barbosa 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Cruzeiro
Apr 18, 2025 1.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Bahia
  • Lucas Romero 45'+7' goal
  • Lucas Romero 45'+7' goal
  • William 53' yellowcard
  • William 53' yellowcard
  • Kaio Jorge 60' yellowcard
  • Kaio Jorge 60' yellowcard
  • Wanderson 64' yellowcard
  • Wanderson 64' yellowcard
  • Kaio Jorge 65' goal
  • Kaio Jorge 65' goal
  • Kaio Jorge 76' goal
  • Kaio Jorge 76' goal
  • Christian 76' yellowcard
  • Christian 76' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erick 23'
  • yellowcard Erick 23'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 61'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 61'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Cruzeiro
Oct 19, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Bahia
  • Gabriel Veron 61' goal
  • Matheus Pereira 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everton Ribeiro 43'
  • yellowcard Luciano 59'
  • goal Luciano Rodriguez 82'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Bahia
Jun 23, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Cruzeiro
  • Thaciano 45'+9' goal
  • Oscar Estupinan 78' goal
  • Gabriel Teixeira 90'+1' goal
  • Oscar Estupinan 90'+6' goal
  • goal Gabriel Veron 14'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Veron 48'
  • redcard Marlon 70'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Cruzeiro
Oct 26, 2023 12.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Bahia
  • Kanu 19' goal
  • Kanu 19' goal
  • Lucas Silva 27' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 27' yellowcard
  • Marlon 53' goal
  • Marlon 53' goal
  • Machado 75' yellowcard
  • Machado 75' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 88' goal
  • Bruno Rodrigues 88' goal
  • yellowcard Camilo Candido 63'
  • yellowcard Camilo Candido 63'
  • yellowcard Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'
  • yellowcard Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Bahia
Jun 10, 2023 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Cruzeiro
  • Kayky 18' goal
  • Arthur Sales 66' goal
  • goal Bruno Rodrigues 30'
  • goal Wesley 45'+1'

Form Data

Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Bahia
Bahia 2 - 2 Santos
Bahia 1 - 3 Remo
Flamengo 2 - 0 Bahia
Mirassol 1 - 2 Bahia
Bahia 1 - 2 Palmeiras
Catolica 0 - 0 Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro 1 - 3 Atletico Mineiro
Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Boca Juniors
Remo 0 - 1 Cruzeiro
Goias 2 - 2 Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Gremio