Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Gary Medel 63' yellowcard
  • Matias Palavecino 63' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Martínez 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaique Kenji 77'
  • yellowcard Kaique Kenji 78'
  • yellowcard João Marcelo 78'

Universidad Catolica vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 1.00am
Barcelona 1 - 2 Catolica

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 1.30am
Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Boca Juniors

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 (9.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Universidad Catolica 30.22% (-0.25)
Draw 26.14%
Cruzeiro 43.64% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.71% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.4% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 28.6% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 46.12% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 53.88% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 23.9% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 76.06% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 12.82% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 87.18% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Universidad Catolica 27.68% (+0.08)
Draw 45.62% (-0.22)
Cruzeiro 26.7% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Universidad Catolica 46.01% (-0.36)
No Goal 8.39% (+0.07)
Cruzeiro 45.6% (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 55.07% (+0.21)
Equal 8 12.24% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.69% (-0.20)
Over 9 42.87% (+0.20)
Equal 9 12.2% (+0.01)
Under 9 44.93% (-0.21)
Over 10.5 31.77% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 68.22% (-0.19)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 1.5 29.1% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 70.9% (+0.28)
Over 2.5 9.74% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 90.26% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.7% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.3% (+0.05)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 72.58% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 27.42% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 39.62% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 60.38% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 16.46% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 83.54% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 5.26% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.74% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Universidad Catolica 30.22%
Draw 26.15%
Cruzeiro 43.65%
Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.09% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.68% (-0.05)
Total : 30.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.39% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 26.15%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 11.13% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 9.11% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.85% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.95% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.93% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.44%
Other @ 5.24% (+0.03)
Total : 43.65%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Keny Arroyo 46' yellowcard
  • William 46' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 60' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva  72' yellowcard
  • Chico da Costa 83' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 89' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • goal Justo Giani 29'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Arancibia 78'
  • yellowcard Matias Palavecino 78'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Martínez 88'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Martínez 89'
  • yellowcard Juan Francisco Rossel 89'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard Justo Giani 89'
  • goal Jimmy Martínez 90'+4'