Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 3.00am
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Universidad Catolica vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 1.00am
Barcelona 1 - 2 Catolica

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 1.30am
Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Boca Juniors

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Universidad Catolica has a probability of 30.64% and a draw has a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win is 1-0 (9.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Universidad Catolica 30.64% (-0.19)
Draw 26.42% (-0.02)
Cruzeiro 42.93% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.93% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.56% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.44% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.31% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 53.69% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 23.95% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 76.05% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.84% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.16% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Universidad Catolica 27.55% (-0.09)
Draw 46.03% (+0.03)
Cruzeiro 26.42% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Universidad Catolica 46.22% (+0.15)
No Goal 8.37% (-0.04)
Cruzeiro 45.41% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 54.42%
Equal 8 12.26% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.32% (-0.01)
Over 9 42.27%
Equal 9 12.15% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.58%
Over 10.5 31.26% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 68.74% (+0.02)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 1.5 29.57% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 70.43% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 10.11% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 89.89% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.83% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.17% (+0.02)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 72.3% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 27.7% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 39.26% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 60.74% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 16.2% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 83.8% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.2% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.8% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Universidad Catolica 30.64%
Draw 26.41%
Cruzeiro 42.93%
Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.76% (-0.04)
Total : 30.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.02)
Total : 26.41%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 10.94% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.14% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.65% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.86% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.85% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 5.13% (+0.02)
Total : 42.93%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Keny Arroyo 46' yellowcard
  • William 46' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 60' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva  72' yellowcard
  • Chico da Costa 83' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 89' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • goal Justo Giani 29'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Arancibia 78'
  • yellowcard Matias Palavecino 78'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Martínez 88'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Martínez 89'
  • yellowcard Juan Francisco Rossel 89'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard Justo Giani 89'
  • goal Jimmy Martínez 90'+4'