Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 (9.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.