Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
  • Jefferson Wila 46' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Intriago 46' yellowcard
  • Tomás Martínez 46' yellowcard
  • Ronald Perlaza 65' yellowcard
  • Miguel Parrales 75' yellowcard
  • Milton Céliz 79' goal
  • goal Fernando Zampedri 17'
  • goal Clemente Montes 22'
  • yellowcard Agustín Farías 66'
  • yellowcard Martín Alejandro Gómez 67'
  • yellowcard Alfred Canales 77'
  • yellowcard Gary Medel 77'
  • yellowcard Daniel González 90'+4'

Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 1.00am
Boca Juniors 3 - 0 Barcelona

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Catolica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (9.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Barcelona SC 38.56% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 26.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Universidad Catolica 34.63% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.27% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.32% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 28.68% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 46.2% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.8% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 24.42% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 75.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.98% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Barcelona SC 31.99%
Draw 44.44%
Universidad Catolica 23.57%

Team To Score First

Barcelona SC 51.73% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 8.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Universidad Catolica 39.99% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.39%
Equal 8 12.36%
Under 8 38.26%
Over 9 37.59%
Equal 9 11.79%
Under 9 50.61%
Over 10.5 27.28%
Under 10.5 72.72%

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 1.5 35.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 64.13% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 14.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.7% ▼ (-0.01)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5 67.24% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 32.76% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 33.07% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 66.93% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 12.15% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 87.85% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 3.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.19% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Barcelona SC 38.55%
Draw 26.84%
Universidad Catolica 34.62%
Barcelona SC
1-0 @ 10.65% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19%
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 38.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.84%
Universidad Catolica
0-1 @ 9.76%
1-2 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 34.62%