Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (9.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.