Brasileiro Gameweek 17
May 26, 2026 12.00am
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Bruno Melo 56' goal
  • Joaquín Lavega 65' goal
  • Breno Lopes 68' goal
  • Fabinho 78' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Taverna 78' yellowcard
  • Wallisson 87' yellowcard
  • Vini Paulista 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Tiago Cóser 26' (OG)
  • yellowcard João Paulo 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Ademir 60'
  • yellowcard Everaldo 71'
  • yellowcard Cristian Olivera 71'
  • yellowcard Michel Araújo 71'
  • yellowcard Michel Araújo 72'
  • goal Everaldo 90'+1'

Coritiba vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
Santos 0 - 3 Coritiba
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Bahia 1 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (9.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Coritiba 33.71% (+0.12)
Draw 26.57% (-0.06)
Bahia 39.69% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.98% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.57% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 27.43% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 47.63% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 52.37% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 25.39% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 74.61% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 13.36% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 86.64% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Coritiba 26.34%
Draw 46.47% (-0.08)
Bahia 27.19% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Coritiba 47.51% (+0.09)
No Goal 7.56% (-0.05)
Bahia 44.93% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 60.6% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.54% (+0.02)
Under 8 27.86% (+0.17)
Over 9 48.56% (-0.18)
Equal 9 12.05% (+0.02)
Under 9 39.4% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 37.08% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 62.92% (+0.18)

Coritiba Goals

Over 1.5 32.83% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 67.17% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 11.45% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 88.55% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.13% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.87% (-0.04)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 72.02% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.98% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 37.69% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.31% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.84% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.16% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.7%
Under 3.5 95.3%

Score analysis

Coritiba 33.7%
Draw 26.58%
Bahia 39.69%
Coritiba
1-0 @ 9.53%
2-1 @ 8.07% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.51% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.12% (+0.04)
Total : 33.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.28%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.58%
Bahia
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-2 @ 6.55% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 39.69%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Sep 15, 2023 12.00am
2
4
HT : 3 6
FT Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira
  • 2' goal
  • Sebastian Gomez 2' goal
  • Sebastian Gomez 2' goal
  • Hayner 25' yellowcard
  • Hayner 25' yellowcard
  • Bruno Gomes 36' yellowcard
  • Bruno Gomes 36' yellowcard
  • Thiago Dombroski 55' yellowcard
  • Thiago Dombroski 55' yellowcard
  • Andrey 90'+4' goal
  • Andrey 90'+4' goal
  • goal Rafael Ratao 11'
  • goal Rafael Ratao 11'
  • goal Thaciano 30'
  • goal Thaciano 30'
  • yellowcard Rezende 32'
  • yellowcard Rezende 32'
  • goal Ademir 34'
  • goal Ademir 34'
  • goal Gabriel Teixeira 74'
  • goal Gabriel Teixeira 74'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Victor Luis 16' goal
  • Gabriel Teixeira 65' goal
  • David Duarte 68' goal
  • goal Gabriel Boschilia 63'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Nov 16, 2020 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Giovanni Augusto 3' goal
  • Robson 31' yellowcard
  • Mailton 72' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Augusto 76' yellowcard
  • goal Elber 36'
  • yellowcard Danielzinho 57'
  • yellowcard Rodrigoinho 71'
  • goal Zeca 72'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo 87'
  • yellowcard Gregore 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2020 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rodrigoinho 40' goal
  • yellowcard Sassa 38'
  • yellowcard Matheus Galdezani 41'
  • yellowcard Rodolfo Filemon 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Nathanael Ananias da Silva 68'
  • yellowcard Nathan Silva 68'
  • yellowcard Yan Medeiros Sasse 87'
  • yellowcard Yan Sasse 87'