Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.27%. A draw had a probability of 28.57% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%) , while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 1-0 (9.59%).