Brasileiro Gameweek 16
May 16, 2026 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena MRV
  • Alan Minda 17' goal
  • Maycon  61' yellowcard
  • Mamady Cissé  72' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 79' yellowcard
  • Mamady Cissé  82' goal
  • Cauã Soares 84' yellowcard
  • goal Willian Machado 40'
  • yellowcard José Aldo 57'
  • yellowcard Shaylon 57'
  • yellowcard Shaylon 58'
  • yellowcard Everton Galdino 63'
  • yellowcard Tiquinho Soares 63'
  • yellowcard Antonio Galeano 85'

Atletico Mineiro vs Mirassol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Botafogo
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 10.30pm
Mirassol 1 - 1 Chapecoense
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%) , while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 50.12% (-0.06)
Draw 27.1% (-0.04)
Mirassol 22.78% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.35% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.63% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 32.37% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 41.7% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 58.3% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 20.74% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 79.26% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 10.82% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 89.18% (-0.09)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 37.42% (-0.20)
Draw 43.53% (+0.08)
Mirassol 19.05% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 54.81% (-0.13)
No Goal 9.88% (-0.04)
Mirassol 35.31% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 63.79% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.33% (+0.01)
Under 8 24.88% (-0.02)
Over 9 51.63% (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.17% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.21% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 39.76%
Under 10.5 60.24%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 41.77% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.23% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 16.93% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.07% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.47% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.53% (-0.02)

Mirassol Goals

Over 0.5 55.81% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 44.19% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 21.56% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 78.44% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 5.92% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.08% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.38% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.62% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 50.12%
Draw 27.11%
Mirassol 22.78%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 14.41% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.87% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.46% (+0.02)
Total : 50.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.88% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.11%
Mirassol
0-1 @ 8.09%
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.6% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.58% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.37% (+0.04)
Total : 22.78%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 28, 2025 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Apr 26, 2025 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia
  • Edson Guilherme Mendes dos Santos 12' goal
  • Lucas Carvalho da Silva 34' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ramon 34' yellowcard
  • Alex Santana 50' yellowcard
  • Daniel Borges 57' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Hulk 28'
  • goal Rony 70'
  • goal Hulk 80'
  • yellowcard Ivan Roman 90'+5'