Brasileiro Gameweek 16
May 16, 2026 10.30pm
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro vs Mirassol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Botafogo
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 10.30pm
Mirassol 1 - 1 Chapecoense
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw has a probability of 27.58% and a win for Mirassol has a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.57%) , while for a Mirassol win it is 0-1 (8.36%).

Result

Atletico Mineiro 49.39%
Draw 27.58%
Mirassol 23.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.92%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.87%
Under 1.5 33.13%
Over 2.5 40.95%
Under 2.5 59.05%
Over 3.5 20.17%
Under 3.5 79.83%
Over 4.5 10.43%
Under 4.5 89.57%

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 37.61%
Draw 43.54%
Mirassol 18.85%

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 54.71%
No Goal 10.31%
Mirassol 34.98%

Corners

Over 8 64.24%
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 24.47%
Over 9 52.06%
Equal 9 12.18%
Under 9 35.76%
Over 10.5 40.13%
Under 10.5 59.87%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 40.83%
Under 1.5 59.17%
Over 2.5 16.33%
Under 2.5 83.67%
Over 3.5 5.21%
Under 3.5 94.79%

Mirassol Goals

Over 0.5 55.94%
Under 0.5 44.06%
Over 1.5 21.48%
Under 1.5 78.52%
Over 2.5 5.83%
Under 2.5 94.17%
Over 3.5 1.34%
Under 3.5 98.66%

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 49.39%
Draw 27.59%
Mirassol 23.08%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 14.52%
2-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.05%
Other @ 5.2%
Total : 49.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.59%
Mirassol
0-1 @ 8.36%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.25%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 23.08%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 28, 2025 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Apr 26, 2025 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia
  • Edson Guilherme Mendes dos Santos 12' goal
  • Lucas Carvalho da Silva 34' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ramon 34' yellowcard
  • Alex Santana 50' yellowcard
  • Daniel Borges 57' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Hulk 28'
  • goal Rony 70'
  • goal Hulk 80'
  • yellowcard Ivan Roman 90'+5'