Copa do Brasil
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fcealog.png)
May 14, 2026 1.30am
2
1
HT :
1
0
FT
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fminlog.png)
-
Alex Silva
8'
-
Everson
23'
-
Rafael Ramos
46'
-
Juan Alano
70'
-
70'
-
Matheus Araújo
75'
-
Giulio Gabriel
75'
-
Tomás Cuello
33'
-
Natanael
33'
-
Kauã Pascini
46'
-
Alexsander
46'
-
Cauã Soares
78'
-
Kauã Pascini
90'
Ceara vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result
Ceara
44.85%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
26.93%
▲
(+0.06)
Atletico Mineiro
28.22%
▼
(-0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
48.38%
▼
(-0.20)
Goals
Over 1.5
69.23%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
30.77%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 2.5
43.07%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 2.5
56.93%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 3.5
21.1%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 3.5
78.9%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 4.5
11.1%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 4.5
88.9%
▲
(+0.28)
First Half Winner
Ceara
31.75%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
46.7%
▲
(+0.18)
Atletico Mineiro
21.55%
▼
(-0.13)
Team To Score First
Ceara
54.36%
▼
(-0.11)
No Goal
9.12%
▲
(+0.16)
Atletico Mineiro
36.52%
▼
(-0.05)
Corners
Over 8
54.84%
▼
(-0.12)
Equal 8
11.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
33.3%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 9
43.04%
▼
(-0.11)
Equal 9
11.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
45.16%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 10.5
32.26%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 10.5
67.74%
▲
(+0.07)
Ceara Goals
Over 1.5
38.69%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
61.31%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 2.5
15.1%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
84.9%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
4.69%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
95.31%
▲
(+0.04)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5
61.27%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 0.5
38.73%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 1.5
25.9%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 1.5
74.1%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 2.5
8.2%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 2.5
91.8%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 3.5
2.12%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
97.88%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Ceara
44.86%
Draw
26.95%
Atletico Mineiro
28.23%
Ceara
1-0
@
12.49%
▲
(+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 44.86%
2-1 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 44.86%
Draw
1-1
@
13.08%
▲
(+0.08)
0-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.95%
0-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.95%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1
@
9.2%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 28.23%
1-2 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 28.23%
Head to Head
Copa do Brasil
-
Mateo Cassierra
44'
-
Alexsander
61'
-
Hulk
61'
-
Tomás Cuello
67'
-
Alan Minda
67'
-
Tomás Cuello
68'
-
Renan Lodi
73'
-
Gustavo Scarpa
82'
-
Bruno
32'
-
Fernandinho
54'
-
Vina
54'
-
Wendel
65'
-
Richardson
79'
-
Richardson
80'
-
Lucas Lima
80'
Brasileiro
Brasileiro
Gameweek
11
Jun 1, 2025 10.30pm
0
1
HT :
0
0
FT
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
-
Diego
36'
-
Alan Franco
44'
-
Lyanco
49'
-
Rony
78'
-
Lyanco
90'+3'
-
Everson
90'+5'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
31
Brasileiro
Gameweek
12
-
Richard
39'
-
Fernando Sobral
90'+4'
-
Rubens
74'
-
Junior Alonso
87'
-
Calebe
88'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
25
-
Hulk
32'
-
Jair
47'
-
Hulk
45'+10'
-
Diego Costa
87'
-
Geovane da Silva de Souza
30'
-
Messias
45'+8'
-
Bruno Pacheco
90'
-
Gabriel Lacerda
90'+2'