Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.56% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%) , while for a Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood.