Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academia Puerto Cabello win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Monagas had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Monagas win was 0-1 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.