Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 27, 2025 at 11pm UK

Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
2 - 2
Puerto Cabello

Salvio (12'), Moreno (21')
Mendez (10'), De Jesus (66'), Izquierdoz (70')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Paredes (15', 62' pen.)
Paredes (43'), Awudu (45+2'), Peraza (73')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Academia Puerto Cabello.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Vasco
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Academia Puerto Cabello

All competitions

Last Game: Puerto Cabello 0-1 Melgar
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.53%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Academia Puerto Cabello
66.59% ( -0.15)	21.58% ( 0.08)	11.83% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 38.5% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.09% (

-0.17)

55.9% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.99% (

-0.14)

77.01% (

0.14)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91% (

-0.11)

16.09% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.51% (

-0.2)

45.49% (

0.19)

Academia Puerto Cabello Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.88% (

54.11% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.65% (

-0)

87.34% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lanus 66.58%

Academia Puerto Cabello 11.83%

Draw 21.58%

Lanus	Draw	Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0 @ 15.9% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 14.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 66.58%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.58%	0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.83%