Brasileiro Gameweek 17
May 24, 2026 10.30pm
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Botafogo 3 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Breno Bidon

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 10.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 1 Mirassol
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Corinthians win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw has a probability of 26.32% and a win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.77%) , while for a Atletico Mineiro win it is 0-1 (7.77%).

Result

Corinthians 49.11% (-0.47)
Draw 26.32% (+0.04)
Atletico Mineiro 24.6% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.4% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.3% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 27.7% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 46.97% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 53.03% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 25.19% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 74.81% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 13.65% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 86.35% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Corinthians 34.91%
Draw 45.79%
Atletico Mineiro 19.3%

Team To Score First

Corinthians 57.77% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.73% (-0.07)
Atletico Mineiro 34.5% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.68%
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 31.62%
Over 9 44.85%
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 43.32%
Over 10.5 33.89%
Under 10.5 66.11%

Corinthians Goals

Over 1.5 44.32% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 55.68% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 19.06% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 80.94% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 6.74% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.26% (+0.06)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 60.16% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 39.84% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 25.16% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 74.84% (-0.51)
Over 2.5 7.83% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 92.17% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 1.95% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 98.05% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Corinthians 49.1%
Draw 26.32%
Atletico Mineiro 24.59%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 12.21% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.68% (-0.06)
Total : 49.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.87% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.32%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 7.77% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.69% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.08% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.61% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.3% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.89% (+0.10)
Total : 24.59%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 18, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
May 25, 2025 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Lyanco 26' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 26' yellowcard
  • Rubens 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Rubens 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caca 53'
  • yellowcard Caca 53'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro de Sousa Rodrigues 60'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro de Sousa Rodrigues 60'
  • yellowcard Ryan 67'
  • yellowcard Ryan 67'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 85'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena MRV
  • Bruno Fuchs 24' yellowcard
  • Hulk 32' goal
  • Hulk 85' goal
  • Alex Santana 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 90'+8' redcard
  • goal Yuri Alberto 39'
  • yellowcard Hugo Souza 82'
  • yellowcard Lyanco 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 14, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Antonio Oliveira 0' yellowcard
  • Antonio Oliveira 0' redcard
  • Carlos Miguel 2' yellowcard
  • Angel Romero 28' yellowcard
  • Fagner 31' yellowcard
  • Raniele 32' yellowcard
  • Yuri Alberto 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 82' yellowcard
  • Hugo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Maycon 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Battaglia 1'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 22'
  • redcard Rodrigo Battaglia 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Hulk 51'
  • yellowcard Everson 64'
  • yellowcard Renzo Saravia 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 9, 2023 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Angel Romero 23' goal
  • Fabio Santos 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everson 19'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 22'
  • goal Paulinho 67'
  • yellowcard Pedrinho 70'
  • yellowcard Igor Rabello 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • goal Roger Guedes 40'