Copa Libertadores Gameweek 5
May 22, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Maximiliano Olivera   19' goal
  • Luis Angulo 60' yellowcard
  • Facundo Alvez 60' yellowcard
  • Brian Barboza 71' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 71' yellowcard
  • Abel Hernández  71' yellowcard
  • goal Zakaria Labyad 63'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Garro 73'
  • yellowcard Yuri Alberto 73'
  • yellowcard Yuri Alberto 74'
  • yellowcard Jesse Lingard 74'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Garro 74'
  • yellowcard Dieguinho 84'

Penarol vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 7, 2026 11.00pm
Platense 1 - 1 Penarol

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 7, 2026 1.30am
Santa Fe 1 - 1 Corinthians

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (10.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 36.95% ▲ (+0.73)
Draw 28.15% ▲ (+0.46)
Corinthians 34.85% ▼ (-1.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.32% ▼ (-0.89)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.82% ▼ (-1.16)
Under 1.5 32.18% ▲ (+1.15)
Over 2.5 42.26% ▼ (-1.43)
Under 2.5 57.74% ▲ (+1.47)
Over 3.5 21.75% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 3.5 78.25% ▲ (+1.19)
Over 4.5 11.25% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 4.5 88.75% ▲ (+0.85)

First Half Winner

Penarol 26.94% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 47.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Corinthians 25.38% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Penarol 42.91% ▼ (-0.59)
No Goal 9.98% ▲ (+0.42)
Corinthians 47.11% ▲ (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 33.24% ▼ (-12.88)
Equal 8 10.08% ▼ (-2.17)
Under 8 56.68% ▲ (+15.05)
Over 9 24.78% ▼ (-9.95)
Equal 9 8.45% ▼ (-2.94)
Under 9 66.76% ▲ (+12.89)
Over 10.5 18.19% ▼ (-6.82)
Under 10.5 81.81% ▲ (+6.83)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 32.74% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 67.26% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 11.68% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 88.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 3.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.52% ▲ (+0.07)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 65.73% ▼ (-1.27)
Under 0.5 34.27% ▲ (+1.28)
Over 1.5 31.26% ▼ (-1.59)
Under 1.5 68.74% ▲ (+1.58)
Over 2.5 11.47% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 2.5 88.53% ▲ (+1.05)
Over 3.5 3.32% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 96.68% ▲ (+0.42)

Score analysis

Penarol 36.95%
Draw 28.16%
Corinthians 34.84%
Penarol
1-0 @ 11.47% ▲ (+0.50)
2-1 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 36.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 9.98% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.16%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 10.68% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.23)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.45)
Total : 34.84%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
May 1, 2026 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Gustavo Henrique 11' goal
  • Jesse Lingard 25' goal
  • Kaio César 60' yellowcard
  • André Carrillo 80' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Labyad 80' yellowcard
  • Pedro Raul 88' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Angulo 57'
  • yellowcard Stiven Muhlethaler 73'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rodríguez 73'
  • yellowcard Abel Hernández  80'
  • yellowcard Franco González 81'
Copa Sudamericana
May 14, 2021 1.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Agustin Alvarez 5' goal
  • Agustin Alvarez 14' goal
  • Agustin Canobbio 53' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 57' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 65' yellowcard
  • Agustin Alvarez 69' goal
  • yellowcard Fabio Santos 9'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jo 49'
Copa Sudamericana
Apr 29, 2021 11.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
  • Fabio Santos 19' yellowcard
  • Gil 25' yellowcard
  • Victor Cantillo 63' yellowcard
  • Bruno Mendez 64' yellowcard
  • Romulo Otero 64' yellowcard
  • goal Giovanni Gonzalez 13'
  • yellowcard Juan Acosta 35'
  • goal David Terans 56'
  • yellowcard Gary Kagelmacher 80'