Copa Libertadores Gameweek 5
May 22, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 7, 2026 11.00pm
Platense 1 - 1 Penarol

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 7, 2026 1.30am
Santa Fe 1 - 1 Corinthians

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Corinthians win with a probability of 36.15%. A win for Penarol has a probability of 36.09% and a draw has a probability of 27.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Penarol win is 1-0 (10.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.73%).

Result

Penarol 36.09% (+0.10)
Draw 27.73% (-0.04)
Corinthians 36.15% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.28% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.07% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 30.93% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 43.91% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 56.09% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 23.03% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 76.97% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 12.16% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.84% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Penarol 26.85% (-0.04)
Draw 47.81% (+0.11)
Corinthians 25.34% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Penarol 43.26% (+0.15)
No Goal 9.52% (+0.03)
Corinthians 47.22% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 46.26% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.26%
Under 8 41.49%
Over 9 34.86% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 53.74% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 25.11% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 74.89% (-0.02)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 32.86%
Under 1.5 67.14%
Over 2.5 11.77% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.23% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.57%
Under 3.5 96.43%

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 67.12% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 32.88% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 33.03% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 66.97% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12.65% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 87.35% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.77% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.23% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Penarol 36.08%
Draw 27.74%
Corinthians 36.14%
Penarol
1-0 @ 10.9% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.85% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.48% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 36.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.52% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 27.74%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 10.47% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.72% (-0.01)
Total : 36.14%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
May 1, 2026 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Gustavo Henrique 11' goal
  • Jesse Lingard 25' goal
  • Kaio César 60' yellowcard
  • André Carrillo 80' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Labyad 80' yellowcard
  • Pedro Raul 88' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Angulo 57'
  • yellowcard Stiven Muhlethaler 73'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rodríguez 73'
  • yellowcard Abel Hernández  80'
  • yellowcard Franco González 81'
Copa Sudamericana
May 14, 2021 1.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Agustin Alvarez 5' goal
  • Agustin Alvarez 14' goal
  • Agustin Canobbio 53' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 57' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 65' yellowcard
  • Agustin Alvarez 69' goal
  • yellowcard Fabio Santos 9'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jo 49'
Copa Sudamericana
Apr 29, 2021 11.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
  • Fabio Santos 19' yellowcard
  • Gil 25' yellowcard
  • Victor Cantillo 63' yellowcard
  • Bruno Mendez 64' yellowcard
  • Romulo Otero 64' yellowcard
  • goal Giovanni Gonzalez 13'
  • yellowcard Juan Acosta 35'
  • goal David Terans 56'
  • yellowcard Gary Kagelmacher 80'