Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Corinthians win with a probability of 36.15%. A win for Penarol has a probability of 36.09% and a draw has a probability of 27.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Penarol win is 1-0 (10.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.73%).