Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
May 16, 2026 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Jesús Trindade 3' goal
  • Nicolás Fernández 43' goal
  • Facundo Alvez 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin Rodríguez 67' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 67' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 80' yellowcard
  • German Barbas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Martínez 5'
  • yellowcard Mathías Bernatene 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Facundo Barceló 62'
  • yellowcard Matías Mir 62'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Degregorio 75'
  • yellowcard Renzo Machado 75'

Penarol vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 12, 2026 12.30am
Cerro Largo 2 - 3 Penarol

Liverpool

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 8, 2026 11.30pm
Wanderers 1 - 0 Liverpool

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Liverpool has a probability of 30.21% and a draw has a probability of 29.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 0-1 (10.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (14.03%).

Result

Penarol 40.62% (-0.02)
Draw 29.18% (+0.01)
Liverpool 30.21% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.66%
Under 1.5 34.34%
Over 2.5 38.81% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 61.19% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 18.72% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 81.28% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.08% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.92% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Penarol 31.74%
Draw 46.49% (+0.02)
Liverpool 21.77% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Penarol 48.31% (-0.04)
No Goal 10.42% (+0.01)
Liverpool 41.27% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.68%
Equal 8 12.56%
Under 8 33.76%
Over 9 41.27%
Equal 9 12.41%
Under 9 46.32%
Over 10.5 30.09%
Under 10.5 69.91%

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 33.82% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.18% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 11.75% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.22% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.78% (+0.02)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 62.48% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 37.52% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 25.87% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.13% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.14%
Under 2.5 91.86%
Over 3.5 2%
Under 3.5 98%

Score analysis

Penarol 40.62%
Draw 29.19%
Liverpool 30.22%
Penarol
1-0 @ 13.16%
2-1 @ 8.54%
2-0 @ 7.73%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.21% (-0.02)
Total : 40.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.03%
0-0 @ 10.42% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.19%
Liverpool
0-1 @ 10.79% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.75% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 30.22%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 14, 2026 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Franco Escobar 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Fernández 46' yellowcard
  • Abel Hernández  46' yellowcard
  • Eric Remedi 46' yellowcard
  • Luis Angulo 58' yellowcard
  • goal Rubén Bentancourt 5'
  • goal Martín Rabuñal  41'
  • yellowcard Renzo Machado 60'
  • yellowcard Diego Romero 60'
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta 67'
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta 68'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Nicolas de Mello Cartagena 79'
  • yellowcard Matías Mir 79'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 13, 2025 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jun 16, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 20, 2025 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Lucas Hernandez 30' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Perez 73' yellowcard
  • Jaime Baez 80' yellowcard
  • goal Abel Hernandez 27'
  • goal Abel Hernandez 59'
  • goal Hugo Quintana 63'
  • yellowcard Martin Rabunal 67'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Damian Suarez 37' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 40' goal
  • Damian Garcia 63' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 63' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Darias 88' goal
  • yellowcard Renzo Machado 37'
  • yellowcard Kevin Amaro 38'
  • yellowcard Diego Rodriguez 51'
  • yellowcard Christian Tabo 65'
  • yellowcard Lucas Wasilewsky 73'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Kevin Amaro 10' goal
  • Jean Rosso 16' goal
  • Enzo Martinez 27' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Alfaro 42' yellowcard
  • Diego Garcia 67' yellowcard
  • Matias Ocampo 67' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodriguez 75' yellowcard
  • Kevin Amaro 90'+1' redcard
  • Pedro Milans 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 8'
  • yellowcard Guzman Rodriguez 20'
  • yellowcard Damian Garcia 31'
  • yellowcard Leo Coelho 60'
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera 90'
  • yellowcard Pedro Milans 90'+5'
  • redcard Kevin Amaro 94'+1'