Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Liverpool has a probability of 30.21% and a draw has a probability of 29.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 0-1 (10.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (14.03%).