May 12, 2026 12.30am

2

3

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Diego Daguerre 45'+3'
Mario García 64'
Gustavo Viera 78'
Emiliano Jourdan 82'
Federico Sellecchia 82'
Federico Sellecchia 84'

Facundo Alvez 40'
Abel Hernández 46'
Facundo Batista 59'
Stiven Muhlethaler 62'
Kevin Rodríguez 62'
Leandro Umpiérrez 74'
Abel Hernández 87'
Tomás Olase 89'

Cerro Largo vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions

W
L
L
D
D
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
L
L
D
D
W

Last game

May 3, 2026 1.30pm

Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro Largo

Penarol

All competitions

D
D
L
L
D
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
L
D
L
W
L

Last game

May 4, 2026 11.30pm

Penarol 1 - 1 Defensor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.66% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.45%) and 1-2 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

Cerro Largo 17.48% ▼ (-0.26)

Draw 25.66% ▼ (-0.31)

Penarol 56.92% ▲ (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score:

43.8% ▲ (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 67% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 33% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 41.43% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 58.57% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 20.95% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 79.05% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 4.5 11.11% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 88.89% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Cerro Largo 16.21% ▼ (-0.06)

Draw 45.27% ▼ (-0.30)

Penarol 38.52% ▲ (+0.35)

Team To Score First

Cerro Largo 28.11% ▼ (-0.27)

No Goal 10.64% ▼ (-0.09)

Penarol 61.25% ▲ (+0.35)

Corners

Over 8 44.38% ▲ (+0.49)

Equal 8 12.71% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 8 42.91% ▼ (-0.53)

Over 9 32.76% ▲ (+0.40)

Equal 9 11.62% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 9 55.62% ▼ (-0.49)

Over 10.5 23.02% ▲ (+0.31)

Under 10.5 76.98% ▼ (-0.30)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 1.5 16.47% ▼ (-0.38)

Under 1.5 83.53% ▲ (+0.38)

Over 2.5 3.55% ▼ (-0.23)

Under 2.5 96.45% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 3.5 0.7% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 99.3% ▲ (+0.04)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 78.24% ▲ (+0.18)

Under 0.5 21.76% ▼ (-0.18)

Over 1.5 46.19% ▲ (+0.34)

Under 1.5 53.81% ▼ (-0.34)

Over 2.5 20.4% ▲ (+0.14)

Under 2.5 79.6% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 3.5 6.98% ▲ (+0.12)

Under 3.5 93.02% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Cerro Largo 17.47%

Draw 25.66%

Penarol 56.92%

Cerro Largo

1-0 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.03)

2-1 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.15)

2-0 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)

3-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.06)

Other @ 0.69% ▼ (-0.04)

Total : 17.47%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.24% ▼ (-0.10)

0-0 @ 10.64% ▼ (-0.09)

2-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 25.66%

Penarol

0-1 @ 15.34% ▲ (+0.13)

0-2 @ 11.45% ▲ (+0.13)

1-2 @ 10.06% ▲ (+0.15)

0-3 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.05)

1-3 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.07)

2-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.11)

Total : 56.92%

Head to Head

Sep 27, 2025 10.00pm

1

3

HT : 0 0

FT

Jun 1, 2025 9.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Facundo Bonifazi 29'
Nicolas Bertochi 40'
Maximiliano Anasco 45'+2'
69'
Sebastian Assis 69'

Diego Garcia 26'

Mar 31, 2025 12.30am

0

2

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Rodrigo Perez 20'
Rodrigo Perez 20'
Jaime Baez 57'
Jaime Baez 57'

Nicolas Bertochi 28'
Nicolas Bertochi 28'
Nicolas Bertochi 51'
Nicolas Bertochi 51'
Leandro Otormin 70'
Leandro Otormin 70'
Leandro Otormin 76'
Leandro Otormin 76'

Aug 17, 2024 9.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Tomas Olase Curutchet 73'

Axel Prado 29'
Julian Contrera 45'+2'
Matias Mir 84'
Sebastian Assis 86'
Javier Cabrera 87'
Nicolas Cabral 90'+3'
Nicolas Cabral 90'+3'
Matias Mir 90'+6'

Feb 18, 2024 11.00pm

1

2

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Centenario

<TBD> 10'
Jairo Coronel 25'
Mauro Brasil 32'
Sergio Nunez 44'
Lucas Correa 67'

Maximiliano Olivera 32'
Leo Coelho 50'
Leonardo Sequeira 59'
Leonardo Fernandez 68'
Ignacio Sosa 79'
Leonardo Fernandez 82'

Nov 15, 2023 12.30am

1

1

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Sebastian Rodriguez 9'
Sebastian Rodriguez 10'
Nahuel Herrera 46'
Nahuel Herrera Viera 47'
Franco Gonzalez 86'
Franco Gonzalez 86'

Sergio Nunez 4'
Sergio Nunez 6'
Tiago Galletto 35'
Tiago Galletto 36'
Santiago Viera 39'
Santiago Viera 40'
Matias Mir 58'
Matias Mir 58'
Mauro Brasil 69'
Mauro Brasil 69'
Mauro Brasil 88'
Joaquin Fernandez Benitez 90'+3'
Joaquin Fernandez 90'+3'
Adolfo Lima 90'+7'
Adolfo Lima 90'+7'

Form Data

Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Racing

Boston River 1 - 0 Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo 1 - 1 Cerro

Albion 2 - 2 Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Danubio

Platense 1 - 1 Penarol

Penarol 1 - 1 Defensor

Corinthians 2 - 0 Penarol

Wanderers 1 - 0 Penarol

Penarol 2 - 2 Juventud

Penarol 1 - 2 Platense