Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Progreso has a probability of 29.25% and a draw has a probability of 27.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Progreso win is 1-0 (10.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.55%).