Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 3, 2026 1.30pm
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso vs Cerro Largo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 27, 2026 11.30pm
Defensor 1 - 0 Progreso

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 7.30pm
Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Progreso has a probability of 29.25% and a draw has a probability of 27.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Progreso win is 1-0 (10.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.55%).

Result

Progreso 29.25% (-0.15)
Draw 27.72% (-0.07)
Cerro Largo 43.03% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.22% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.02% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 31.98% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 42.22% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 57.78% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 21.01% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 78.99% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 10.64% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 89.36% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Progreso 23.09%
Draw 45.11%
Cerro Largo 31.8%

Team To Score First

Progreso 40.93% (+0.04)
No Goal 10.05% (-0.06)
Cerro Largo 49.02% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.33%
Equal 8 12.42%
Under 8 37.25%
Over 9 38.42%
Equal 9 11.91%
Under 9 49.67%
Over 10.5 27.97%
Under 10.5 72.03%

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 26.3% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 73.7% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 8.03% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.97% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.99% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.01% (+0.02)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 71.33% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 28.67% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 37.76% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 62.24% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 14.55% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 85.45% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 4.51% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 95.49% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Progreso 29.23%
Draw 27.73%
Cerro Largo 43.02%
Progreso
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.93% (-0.02)
Total : 29.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.05% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 27.73%
Cerro Largo
0-1 @ 11.85% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.13% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 8.29% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.83% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.47% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.45% (+0.07)
Total : 43.02%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Feb 7, 2025 10.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
  • Federico Medina 7' goal
  • Leandro Otormin 33' goal
  • Julian Contrera 35' goal
  • Nicolas Bertochi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Bertochi 59' goal
  • Facundo Parada 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Silvera 42'
  • goal Luis Maldonado 55'
  • yellowcard Luis Maldonado 57'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
  • Luciano Cosentino 11' goal
  • Nicolas Bertochi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Julian Contrera 56' yellowcard
  • Luciano Cosentino 71' goal
  • redcard Matias Castro 15'
  • yellowcard Mario Garcia 90'+2'
  • goal Gustavo Alles 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Jun 4, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Palermo
  • Franco Lopez 26' yellowcard
  • Adrian Colombino 74' yellowcard
  • Joel Poiso 89' yellowcard
  • Joel Poiso 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Sebastian Assis 86'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2021 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Raúl Saturnino Goyenola
  • Augusto Max 48' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Silva 56' redcard
  • Mauro Brasil 62' yellowcard
  • Mauro Estol 81' goal
  • yellowcard Luciano Rodriguez 26'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jun 19, 2021 4.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Gonzalo Andrada 31' yellowcard
  • Martin Marta 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emanuel Beltran 19'
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 23'
  • yellowcard Angel Cayetano 53'
  • yellowcard Mauro Brasil 90'+1'