Uruguayan Primera Division
May 3, 2026 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Agustín Codagnone 57' yellowcard
  • 57' yellowcard
  • Diego Sánchez 65' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Juan Rivero 83' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Dos Santos 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Diego Daguerre 46'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Añasco 46'
  • goal Tiziano Correa 56'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Jourdan 76'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Ramos 81'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Viera 87'

Progreso vs Cerro Largo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 27, 2026 11.30pm
Defensor 1 - 0 Progreso

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 7.30pm
Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (10.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result

Progreso 29.64% (+0.47)
Draw 28.01% (+0.31)
Cerro Largo 42.35% (-0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.45% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.21% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 32.79% (+0.64)
Over 2.5 41.12% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 58.88% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 20.15% (-0.56)
Under 3.5 79.85% (+0.55)
Over 4.5 10.09% (-0.35)
Under 4.5 89.91% (+0.35)

First Half Winner

Progreso 23.39%
Draw 45%
Cerro Largo 31.61%

Team To Score First

Progreso 41.22% (-0.15)
No Goal 10.43% (+0.33)
Cerro Largo 48.35% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 49.02%
Equal 8 12.32%
Under 8 38.66%
Over 9 37.33%
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 50.98%
Over 10.5 27.14%
Under 10.5 72.86%

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 26.09% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 73.91% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.87%
Under 2.5 92.13%
Over 3.5 1.93%
Under 3.5 98.07%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 70.49% (-0.75)
Under 0.5 29.51% (+0.75)
Over 1.5 36.68% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 63.32% (+0.93)
Over 2.5 13.81% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 86.19% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 4.23% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 95.77% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Progreso 29.64%
Draw 28.02%
Cerro Largo 42.35%
Progreso
1-0 @ 10.37% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 6.94% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.16% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 2.2% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.67% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 29.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 10.43% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 28.02%
Cerro Largo
0-1 @ 12% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 8.25% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 3.37% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.07)
Other @ 4.19% (-0.25)
Total : 42.35%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Feb 7, 2025 10.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
  • Federico Medina 7' goal
  • Leandro Otormin 33' goal
  • Julian Contrera 35' goal
  • Nicolas Bertochi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Bertochi 59' goal
  • Facundo Parada 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Silvera 42'
  • goal Luis Maldonado 55'
  • yellowcard Luis Maldonado 57'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
  • Luciano Cosentino 11' goal
  • Nicolas Bertochi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Julian Contrera 56' yellowcard
  • Luciano Cosentino 71' goal
  • redcard Matias Castro 15'
  • yellowcard Mario Garcia 90'+2'
  • goal Gustavo Alles 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Jun 4, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Palermo
  • Franco Lopez 26' yellowcard
  • Adrian Colombino 74' yellowcard
  • Joel Poiso 89' yellowcard
  • Joel Poiso 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Sebastian Assis 86'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2021 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Raúl Saturnino Goyenola
  • Augusto Max 48' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Silva 56' redcard
  • Mauro Brasil 62' yellowcard
  • Mauro Estol 81' goal
  • yellowcard Luciano Rodriguez 26'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jun 19, 2021 4.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Gonzalo Andrada 31' yellowcard
  • Martin Marta 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emanuel Beltran 19'
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 23'
  • yellowcard Angel Cayetano 53'
  • yellowcard Mauro Brasil 90'+1'