Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw has a probability of 27.13% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.75%) , while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (8.79%).