Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2026 11.30pm
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor Sporting vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 8.00pm
Racing 1 - 1 Defensor

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 5.00pm
Progreso 2 - 1 Wanderers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw has a probability of 27.13% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.75%) , while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (8.79%).

Result

Defensor Sporting 49.32% (+0.04)
Draw 27.13% (-0.02)
Progreso 23.55% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.26% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.32%
Under 1.5 34.68%
Over 2.5 39.18% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 60.82% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 18.71%
Under 3.5 81.29%
Over 4.5 9.41%
Under 4.5 90.59%

First Half Winner

Defensor Sporting 32.8% (+0.01)
Draw 47.46% (-0.01)
Progreso 19.74%

Team To Score First

Defensor Sporting 53.46% (+0.07)
No Goal 10.23% (-0.01)
Progreso 36.31% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 48.42%
Equal 8 12.39% (-0.01)
Under 8 39.18%
Over 9 36.69%
Equal 9 11.73% (-0.01)
Under 9 51.58%
Over 10.5 26.51% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 73.49% (-0.02)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 1.5 39.13% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.87% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.12%
Under 2.5 84.88%
Over 3.5 4.64%
Under 3.5 95.36%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 55.55% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 44.45% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 20.73% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 79.27% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 5.77% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.23% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.23%
Under 3.5 98.77%

Score analysis

Defensor Sporting 49.31%
Draw 27.14%
Progreso 23.56%
Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 15.67% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.61% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 49.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.23% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.73%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.14%
Progreso
0-1 @ 8.79% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.33%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 23.56%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 19, 2025 7.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 20, 2025 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • 20' goal
  • Mauricio Federico Amaro Viega 84' yellowcard
  • Maxi Gomez 90'+1' goal
  • Maxi Gomez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianfranco Trasante 30'
  • goal Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 62'
  • goal Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 83'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 85'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Olivera 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2024 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Walter Montoya 6' yellowcard
  • Walter Montoya 6' yellowcard
  • Felipe Cadenazzi 7' goal
  • Felipe Cadenazzi 7' goal
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 45' yellowcard
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 45' yellowcard
  • Claudio Spinelli 49' goal
  • Claudio Spinelli 49' goal
  • Jose Alvarez 56' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 56' yellowcard
  • Felipe Cadenazzi 72' yellowcard
  • Felipe Cadenazzi 72' yellowcard
  • Brian Mansilla 83' goal
  • Brian Mansilla 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 35'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 35'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Castillo 73'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Castillo 73'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gomez 84'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gomez 84'
  • yellowcard Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 86'
  • yellowcard Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 86'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Jun 16, 2024 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Alfonso Barco 38' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Barco 38' yellowcard
  • Renzo Giampaoli 51' yellowcard
  • Renzo Giampaoli 51' yellowcard
  • Anderson Duarte 73' goal
  • Anderson Duarte 73' goal
  • Anderson Duarte 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 6'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 6'
  • goal 30'
  • goal Franco Lopez 44'
  • goal Franco Lopez 44'
  • yellowcard Franco Lopez 69'
  • yellowcard Franco Lopez 69'
  • yellowcard Joel Poiso 80'
  • yellowcard Joel Poiso 80'
  • yellowcard Carlos Canobbio 82'
  • yellowcard Carlos Canobbio 82'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Andrada 90'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Andrada 90'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Andrada 90'
  • yellowcard Alex Silva 90'+2'
  • redcard Alex Silva 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Alex Silva 90'+2'
  • redcard Alex Silva 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Alex Silva 90'+3'
  • redcard Alex Silva 90'+4'
  • redcard Alex Silva 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
May 12, 2024 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Gonzalo Andrada 9' yellowcard
  • Joel Poiso 33' yellowcard
  • Octavio Rivero 67' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Suarez 82' yellowcard
  • Franco Lopez 83' goal
  • goal Renzo Giampaoli 32'
  • yellowcard Renzo Giampaoli 40'
  • goal Facundo Bernal 53'
  • goal Octavio Rivero 57'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 65'
  • yellowcard Agustin Soria 65'
  • yellowcard Patricio Pacifico 79'
  • yellowcard Franco Lopez 79'
  • goal Lucas Agazzi 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Feb 11, 2021 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Alex Silva 7' goal
  • Fabricio Fernandez 29' goal
  • Mauricio Loffreda 35' yellowcard
  • Alex Silva 87' goal
  • Federico Laens 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 8'
  • goal Facundo Mallo 13'
  • yellowcard Matias Rocha 27'
  • goal Diego Coelho 49'
  • redcard Matias Rocha 60'
  • goal Diego Coelho 82'