Apr 27, 2026 11.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Mateo Caballero 46'
Valentín Rodríguez 46'
Alan Torterolo 46'
46'
Nicolás Medina 65'
Brian Lozano 73'
Nicolás Wunsch 73'
Nicolás Wunsch 90'+8'

Jonathan Dos Santos 11'
Mauro Martín 46'
46'
Jonathan Dos Santos 60'
Diego Sánchez 75'
Santiago Viera 75'
Juan Rivero 83'

Defensor Sporting vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

D
W
L
D
D
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
L
D
D
W

Last game

Apr 18, 2026 8.00pm

Racing 1 - 1 Defensor

Progreso

All competitions

W
L
L
D
D
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
L
L
D
D
L

Last game

Apr 18, 2026 5.00pm

Progreso 2 - 1 Wanderers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.64% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%) , while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood.

Result

Defensor Sporting 48.77% ▼ (-0.55)

Draw 27.64% ▲ (+0.52)

Progreso 23.58% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

44.85% ▼ (-0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.89% ▼ (-0.43)

Under 1.5 35.11% ▲ (+0.43)

Over 2.5 38.58% ▼ (-0.61)

Under 2.5 61.42% ▲ (+0.61)

Over 3.5 18.31% ▼ (-0.41)

Under 3.5 81.69% ▲ (+0.40)

Over 4.5 9.12% ▼ (-0.30)

Under 4.5 90.88% ▲ (+0.29)

First Half Winner

Defensor Sporting 32.81% ▲ (+0.02)

Draw 47.44% ▼ (-0.03)

Progreso 19.75% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Defensor Sporting 53.46%

No Goal 10.48% ▲ (+0.25)

Progreso 36.06% ▼ (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 47.99% ▼ (-0.43)

Equal 8 12.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 8 39.63% ▲ (+0.46)

Over 9 36.31% ▼ (-0.38)

Equal 9 11.68% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 9 52.01% ▲ (+0.43)

Over 10.5 26.2% ▼ (-0.32)

Under 10.5 73.8% ▲ (+0.32)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 1.5 38.59% ▼ (-0.54)

Under 1.5 61.41% ▲ (+0.54)

Over 2.5 14.65% ▼ (-0.47)

Under 2.5 85.35% ▲ (+0.47)

Over 3.5 4.46% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 3.5 95.54% ▲ (+0.19)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 55.59% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 0.5 44.41% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 1.5 20.59% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 1.5 79.41% ▲ (+0.15)

Over 2.5 5.72% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 2.5 94.28% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 98.79% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Defensor Sporting 48.78%

Draw 27.65%

Progreso 23.57%

Defensor Sporting

1-0 @ 15.71% ▲ (+0.05)

2-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.05)

2-1 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.03)

3-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.12)

3-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.13)

3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.09)

Other @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.18)

Total : 48.78%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.95% ▲ (+0.20)

0-0 @ 10.48% ▲ (+0.25)

2-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 27.65%

Progreso

0-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.14)

1-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.07)

0-2 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)

0-3 @ 1.15%

Other @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 23.57%

Head to Head

Oct 19, 2025 7.30pm

2

3

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 20, 2025 11.30pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

20'
Mauricio Federico Amaro Viega 84'
Maxi Gomez 90'+1'
Maxi Gomez 90'+3'

Gianfranco Trasante 30'
Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 62'
Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 83'
Adrian Colombino 85'
Nicolas Olivera 89'

Nov 14, 2024 12.30am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Walter Montoya 6'
Walter Montoya 6'
Felipe Cadenazzi 7'
Felipe Cadenazzi 7'
Guillermo De Los Santos 45'
Guillermo De Los Santos 45'
Claudio Spinelli 49'
Claudio Spinelli 49'
Jose Alvarez 56'
Jose Alvarez 56'
Felipe Cadenazzi 72'
Felipe Cadenazzi 72'
Brian Mansilla 83'
Brian Mansilla 83'

Ignacio Lemmo 35'
Ignacio Lemmo 35'
Gonzalo Castillo 73'
Gonzalo Castillo 73'
Nicolas Gomez 84'
Nicolas Gomez 84'
Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 86'
Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 86'

Jun 16, 2024 12.00am

1

1

HT : 0 3

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Alfonso Barco 38'
Alfonso Barco 38'
Renzo Giampaoli 51'
Renzo Giampaoli 51'
Anderson Duarte 73'
Anderson Duarte 73'
Anderson Duarte 85'

Adrian Colombino 6'
Adrian Colombino 6'
30'
Franco Lopez 44'
Franco Lopez 44'
Franco Lopez 69'
Franco Lopez 69'
Joel Poiso 80'
Joel Poiso 80'
Carlos Canobbio 82'
Carlos Canobbio 82'
Gonzalo Andrada 90'
Gonzalo Andrada 90'
Gonzalo Andrada 90'
Alex Silva 90'+2'
Alex Silva 90'+2'
Alex Silva 90'+2'
Alex Silva 90'+2'
Alex Silva 90'+3'
Alex Silva 90'+4'
Alex Silva 90'+4'

May 12, 2024 7.00pm

1

4

HT : 0 1

FT Parque Abraham Paladino

Gonzalo Andrada 9'
Joel Poiso 33'
Octavio Rivero 67'
Nahuel Suarez 82'
Franco Lopez 83'

Renzo Giampaoli 32'
Renzo Giampaoli 40'
Facundo Bernal 53'
Octavio Rivero 57'
Brian Mansilla 65'
Agustin Soria 65'
Patricio Pacifico 79'
Franco Lopez 79'
Lucas Agazzi 90'+6'

Feb 11, 2021 8.00pm

3

3

HT : 2 1

FT

Alex Silva 7'
Fabricio Fernandez 29'
Mauricio Loffreda 35'
Alex Silva 87'
Federico Laens 90'+4'

8'
Facundo Mallo 13'
Matias Rocha 27'
Diego Coelho 49'
Matias Rocha 60'
Diego Coelho 82'

Form Data

Racing 1 - 1 Defensor

Defensor 2 - 0 Boston River

Cerro 1 - 0 Defensor

Defensor 1 - 1 Albion

Danubio 0 - 0 Defensor

Defensor 2 - 1 Nacional

Progreso 2 - 1 Wanderers

Juventud 1 - 0 Progreso

Progreso 0 - 2 Penarol

Progreso 3 - 3 Liverpool

Racing 1 - 1 Progreso

Progreso 0 - 1 Boston River