Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 31.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (11.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.