Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López
  • Augusto Lotti 17' yellowcard
  • Agustín Lagos 39' goal
  • Iván Gómez 77' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Lencina 79' yellowcard
  • Mateo Mendía 80' yellowcard
  • Martín Barrios 87' yellowcard
  • Juan Carlos Gauto 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Laxalt 11'
  • yellowcard Diego Laxalt 13'
  • goal Facundo Batista 29'
  • yellowcard Gastón Togni 46'
  • yellowcard Abel Hernández  76'

Platense vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Platense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 11.00pm
Platense 2 - 1 Santa Fe

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 1, 2026 1.00am
Corinthians 2 - 0 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 36.04%. A win for Platense had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 29.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Platense win was 1-0 (11.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result

Platense 34.11% (-0.17)
Draw 29.85% (+0.05)
Penarol 36.04% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.15% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.25% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 36.75% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 36.49% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 63.51% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 17.38% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 82.62% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 8.49% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 91.51% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Platense 22.62% (-0.03)
Draw 49.61%
Penarol 27.77% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Platense 40.67% (+0.02)
No Goal 12.05% (+0.07)
Penarol 47.28% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 43.71% (-0.33)
Equal 8 12.12% (-0.07)
Under 8 44.16% (+0.37)
Over 9 32.66% (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.06% (-0.08)
Under 9 56.29% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 23.36% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 76.64% (+0.18)

Platense Goals

Over 1.5 27.9% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 72.1% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 9.41% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 90.59% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.38% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.62% (+0.04)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 64.95% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 35.05% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 29.29% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.71% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.74% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.26% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.76% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.24% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Platense 34.11%
Draw 29.85%
Penarol 36.05%
Platense
1-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.28% (-0.05)
Total : 34.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 12.05% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.02)
Total : 29.85%
Penarol
0-1 @ 12.73% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 7.33% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.94% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.54% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.52% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.66% (-0.03)
Total : 36.05%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 17, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Leandro Umpiérrez 46' yellowcard
  • Matías Arezo 58' goal
  • Abel Hernández  74' yellowcard
  • Franco González 84' yellowcard
  • goal Guido Mainero 22'
  • yellowcard Franco Zapiola 63'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Lencina 67'
  • yellowcard Franco Zapiola 67'
  • yellowcard Santiago Dalmasso 67'
  • yellowcard Agustín Lagos 75'
  • yellowcard Iván Gómez 84'
  • yellowcard Adan Ingenthron 84'