Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López

Platense vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Platense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 11.00pm
Platense 2 - 1 Santa Fe

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 1, 2026 1.00am
Corinthians 2 - 0 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 35.91%. A win for Platense has a probability of 34.27% and a draw has a probability of 29.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Platense win is 1-0 (11.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.37%).

Result

Platense 34.27% (-1.17)
Draw 29.81% (+0.19)
Penarol 35.91% (+0.94)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.3% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.36% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 36.64% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 36.55% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 63.45% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 17.48% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 82.52% (+0.51)
Over 4.5 8.54% (-0.32)
Under 4.5 91.46% (+0.31)

First Half Winner

Platense 22.65% (-0.03)
Draw 49.61% (-0.18)
Penarol 27.74% (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Platense 40.66% (-0.43)
No Goal 11.99% (+0.25)
Penarol 47.35% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 44.04% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.18% (+0.04)
Under 8 43.79% (-0.03)
Over 9 32.9% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.13% (+0.04)
Under 9 55.96% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 23.53% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 76.47% (+0.07)

Platense Goals

Over 1.5 28.07% (-1.24)
Under 1.5 71.93% (+1.24)
Over 2.5 9.47% (-0.73)
Under 2.5 90.53% (+0.74)
Over 3.5 2.41% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 97.59% (+0.28)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 64.88% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 35.12% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 29.23% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 70.77% (-0.42)
Over 2.5 9.7% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 90.3% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 2.77% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.23% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Platense 34.27%
Draw 29.81%
Penarol 35.91%
Platense
1-0 @ 11.98% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.32% (-0.27)
Total : 34.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.37% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 11.99% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 29.81%
Penarol
0-1 @ 12.66% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 7.3% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 6.93% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 2.53% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.48% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.68% (+0.09)
Total : 35.91%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 17, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Leandro Umpiérrez 46' yellowcard
  • Matías Arezo 58' goal
  • Abel Hernández  74' yellowcard
  • Franco González 84' yellowcard
  • goal Guido Mainero 22'
  • yellowcard Franco Zapiola 63'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Lencina 67'
  • yellowcard Franco Zapiola 67'
  • yellowcard Santiago Dalmasso 67'
  • yellowcard Agustín Lagos 75'
  • yellowcard Iván Gómez 84'
  • yellowcard Adan Ingenthron 84'