Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Penarol
May 4, 2026 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Defensor
  • Leandro Umpiérrez 18' goal
  • German Barbas 46' yellowcard
  • Matías González 55' yellowcard
  • Stiven Muhlethaler 55' yellowcard
  • Abel Hernández  71' yellowcard
  • Gastón Togni 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Torterolo 63'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Wunsch 63'
  • goal Brian Montenegro 68'
  • yellowcard Valentín Rodríguez 78'

Penarol vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 11.00pm
Wanderers 1 - 0 Penarol

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 27, 2026 11.30pm
Defensor 1 - 0 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.57%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 50.57% ▲ (+0.79)
Draw 28% ▼ (-0.06)
Defensor Sporting 21.43% ▼ (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.62% ▲ (+0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.36% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 1.5 36.64% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 2.5 36.82% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 2.5 63.18% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 3.5 17.37% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 3.5 82.63% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 4.5 8.7% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 91.3% ▼ (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Penarol 35.98% ▼ (-0.64)
Draw 47.22% ▲ (+1.13)
Defensor Sporting 16.8% ▼ (-0.50)

Team To Score First

Penarol 58.21% ▲ (+3.19)
No Goal 11.75% ▼ (-0.65)
Defensor Sporting 30.04% ▼ (-2.56)

Corners

Over 8 49.89% ▲ (+3.96)
Equal 8 12.33% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 8 37.78% ▼ (-3.77)
Over 9 38.07% ▲ (+3.75)
Equal 9 11.82% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 9 50.11% ▼ (-3.96)
Over 10.5 27.7% ▲ (+3.26)
Under 10.5 72.3% ▼ (-3.27)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 39.41% ▲ (+1.07)
Under 1.5 60.59% ▼ (-1.07)
Over 2.5 15.01% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 2.5 84.99% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 3.5 4.63% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 95.37% ▼ (-0.25)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 52.11% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 47.89% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 18.19% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 81.81% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 4.62% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 95.38% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 3.5 0.93% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 99.07% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Penarol 50.59%
Draw 28.01%
Defensor Sporting 21.42%
Penarol
1-0 @ 16.06% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.41)
2-1 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.25)
Total : 50.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41% ▲ (+0.40)
0-0 @ 11.75% ▼ (-0.65)
2-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.01%
Defensor Sporting
0-1 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.36)
1-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.92% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 21.42%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Penarol
Nov 2, 2025 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Penarol
Jun 8, 2025 12.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Defensor
  • Leonardo Fernandez 31' goal
  • Diego Garcia 54' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Olivera 64' goal
  • David Terans 89' goal
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 42'
  • yellowcard Lucas Agazzi 47'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Defensor
May 3, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
Penarol
  • Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 34' yellowcard
  • Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 34' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 82' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 82' yellowcard
  • redcard Leo Coelho 9'
  • redcard Leo Coelho 9'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Fernandez 24'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Fernandez 24'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 77'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 77'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Penarol
Nov 17, 2024 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Defensor
  • Leonardo Sequeira 36' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 45'+5' goal
  • Alan Medina 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 34'
  • redcard Guillermo De Los Santos 36'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 36'
  • yellowcard Felipe Cadenazzi 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 51'
  • yellowcard Damian Garcia 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Penarol
Jul 27, 2024 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Defensor
  • Gaston Ramirez 36' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Matheus Babi 90'+1' goal
  • goal Anderson Duarte 11'
  • yellowcard Anderson Duarte 86'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Matias Dufour 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 90'+7'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Defensor
May 18, 2024 10.00pm
0
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
Penarol
  • 13' goal
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 28' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Cabrera 71' yellowcard
  • Facundo Bernal 89' yellowcard
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera 23'
  • yellowcard Angel Gonzalez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Olivera 61'
  • goal Nahuel Acosta 90'+6'

Form Data

Corinthians 2 - 0 Penarol
Wanderers 1 - 0 Penarol
Penarol 2 - 2 Juventud
Penarol 1 - 2 Platense
Penarol 0 - 2 Liverpool
Santa Fe 1 - 1 Penarol
Defensor 1 - 0 Progreso
Racing 1 - 1 Defensor
Defensor 2 - 0 Boston River
Cerro 1 - 0 Defensor
Defensor 1 - 1 Albion
Danubio 0 - 0 Defensor