Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Penarol
May 4, 2026 11.30pm
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Defensor

Penarol vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 11.00pm
Wanderers 1 - 0 Penarol

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 27, 2026 11.30pm
Defensor 1 - 0 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw has a probability of 28.06% and a win for Defensor Sporting has a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (12.39%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it is 0-1 (8.99%).

Result

Penarol 49.78% ▲ (+0.46)
Draw 28.06% ▲ (+0.70)
Defensor Sporting 22.16% ▼ (-1.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.01% ▼ (-2.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.46% ▼ (-2.56)
Under 1.5 37.54% ▲ (+2.57)
Over 2.5 36.35% ▼ (-2.70)
Under 2.5 63.65% ▲ (+2.65)
Over 3.5 16.93% ▼ (-1.81)
Under 3.5 83.07% ▲ (+1.80)
Over 4.5 8.48% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 4.5 91.52% ▲ (+1.00)

First Half Winner

Penarol 36.61%
Draw 46.09%
Defensor Sporting 17.3%

Team To Score First

Penarol 55.02% ▼ (-0.78)
No Goal 12.39% ▲ (+1.25)
Defensor Sporting 32.59% ▼ (-0.46)

Corners

Over 8 45.94%
Equal 8 12.51%
Under 8 41.55%
Over 9 34.33%
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 54.06%
Over 10.5 24.44%
Under 10.5 75.56%

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 38.34% ▼ (-1.28)
Under 1.5 61.66% ▲ (+1.28)
Over 2.5 14.37% ▼ (-0.87)
Under 2.5 85.63% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 3.5 4.38% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 3.5 95.62% ▲ (+0.38)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 52.22% ▼ (-2.47)
Under 0.5 47.78% ▲ (+2.47)
Over 1.5 18.45% ▼ (-1.99)
Under 1.5 81.55% ▲ (+1.99)
Over 2.5 4.96% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 2.5 95.04% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 3.5 1.03% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 98.97% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Penarol 49.8%
Draw 28.07%
Defensor Sporting 22.16%
Penarol
1-0 @ 16.19% ▲ (+1.15)
2-0 @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.44)
2-1 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.34)
3-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.38)
Total : 49.8%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.39% ▲ (+1.25)
1-1 @ 12.02% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.38)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.07%
Defensor Sporting
0-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.19)
1-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.43)
0-2 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.20)
Total : 22.16%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Penarol
Nov 2, 2025 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Penarol
Jun 8, 2025 12.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Defensor
  • Leonardo Fernandez 31' goal
  • Diego Garcia 54' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Olivera 64' goal
  • David Terans 89' goal
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 42'
  • yellowcard Lucas Agazzi 47'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Defensor
May 3, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
Penarol
  • Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 34' yellowcard
  • Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 34' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 82' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 82' yellowcard
  • redcard Leo Coelho 9'
  • redcard Leo Coelho 9'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Fernandez 24'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Fernandez 24'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 77'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 77'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Penarol
Nov 17, 2024 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Defensor
  • Leonardo Sequeira 36' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 45'+5' goal
  • Alan Medina 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 34'
  • redcard Guillermo De Los Santos 36'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 36'
  • yellowcard Felipe Cadenazzi 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 51'
  • yellowcard Damian Garcia 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Penarol
Jul 27, 2024 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Defensor
  • Gaston Ramirez 36' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Matheus Babi 90'+1' goal
  • goal Anderson Duarte 11'
  • yellowcard Anderson Duarte 86'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Matias Dufour 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 90'+7'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Defensor
May 18, 2024 10.00pm
0
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
Penarol
  • 13' goal
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 28' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Cabrera 71' yellowcard
  • Facundo Bernal 89' yellowcard
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera 23'
  • yellowcard Angel Gonzalez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Olivera 61'
  • goal Nahuel Acosta 90'+6'

Form Data

Corinthians 2 - 0 Penarol
Wanderers 1 - 0 Penarol
Penarol 2 - 2 Juventud
Penarol 1 - 2 Platense
Penarol 0 - 2 Liverpool
Santa Fe 1 - 1 Penarol
Defensor 1 - 0 Progreso
Racing 1 - 1 Defensor
Defensor 2 - 0 Boston River
Cerro 1 - 0 Defensor
Defensor 1 - 1 Albion
Danubio 0 - 0 Defensor