Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.