Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 19, 2026 11.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Rubén Bentancourt 28' yellowcard
  • Diego Romero 51' yellowcard
  • Facundo Barceló 64' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Nicolas de Mello Cartagena 78' yellowcard
  • 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxi Gómez 21'
  • yellowcard Camilo Cándido 46'
  • yellowcard Juan Cruz de los Santos 46'
  • yellowcard Maxi Gómez 56'
  • yellowcard Tomás Verón Lupi 78'
  • yellowcard 78'
  • yellowcard R. Martínez 83'
  • goal Tomás Verón Lupi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Santiago Gonzalez 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Luciano Gonzalez 90'+4'

Liverpool vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 12.00am
Penarol 0 - 2 Liverpool

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 11.00pm
Maldonado 4 - 2 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Liverpool 30.83% (-0.39)
Draw 27.09% (-0.34)
Nacional 42.07% (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.42% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.25% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 28.75% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 45.99% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 54.01% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 23.65% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 76.35% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 12.22% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 87.78% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Liverpool 24.17% (-0.02)
Draw 43.74% (+0.15)
Nacional 32.1% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Liverpool 39.96% (+0.04)
No Goal 8.43% (-0.14)
Nacional 51.61% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 55.39% (-1.00)
Equal 8 11.94% (-0.04)
Under 8 32.67% (+1.03)
Over 9 43.44% (-0.86)
Equal 9 11.95% (-0.14)
Under 9 44.61% (+1.00)
Over 10.5 32.5% (-0.66)
Under 10.5 67.5% (+0.68)

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 29.73% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 70.27% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 10.03% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 89.97% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 2.6% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.4% (+0.08)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 72.48% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 27.52% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 38.34% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 61.66% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 15.33% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 84.67% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 4.8% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 95.2% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Liverpool 30.82%
Draw 27.1%
Nacional 42.08%
Liverpool
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 7.33% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58% (-0.05)
Total : 30.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.04)
Total : 27.1%
Nacional
0-1 @ 11.19% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.35% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.12% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.86% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.51% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.27% (+0.11)
Other @ 4.78% (+0.24)
Total : 42.08%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 20, 2025 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 26, 2025 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Abel Hernandez 23' goal
  • Javier Vallejo 83' goal
  • goal Jeremia Recoba 9'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Baez 70'
  • goal Bruno Gustavo Arady Mata 76'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Sep 8, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Ruben Bentancourt 23' yellowcard
  • Christian Oliva 32' yellowcard
  • Diego Polenta 37' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Velazquez 40' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 44' goal
  • Diego Herazo 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Bentaberry 9'
  • goal <TBD> 14'
  • yellowcard Enzo Castillo 86'
  • yellowcard Alfonso de Luca Ibargoyen 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Jun 15, 2024 9.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Ruben Bentancourt 3' goal
  • Gaston Gonzalez 76' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 79' goal
  • yellowcard Renzo Machado 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Agustin Cayetano 71'
  • yellowcard Lucas Lemos 75'
  • goal Hebert Vergara 87'
  • yellowcard Hebert Vergara 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Feb 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Luciano Rodriguez 45'+1' goal
  • Lucas Wasilewsky 53' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Rodriguez Elduayen 68' yellowcard
  • Kevin Amaro 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 9'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 43'
  • goal Osinachi Ebere 64'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanabria 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 20, 2023 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Mateo Antoni 43' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 63' yellowcard
  • Mateo Antoni 74' redcard
  • Ruben Bentancourt 74' yellowcard
  • Miguel Samudio 80' yellowcard
  • Miguel Samudio 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Federico Martinez 40'