Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 19, 2026 11.30pm
Estadio Centenario

Liverpool vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 12.00am
Penarol 0 - 2 Liverpool

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 11.00pm
Maldonado 4 - 2 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Liverpool has a probability of 31.21% and a draw has a probability of 27.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 1-0 (9.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.01%).

Result

Liverpool 31.21% (-0.86)
Draw 27.43% (-0.50)
Nacional 41.36% (+1.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.18% (-0.98)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.99% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 29.01% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 45.6% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 54.4% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 23.43% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 76.57% (+0.67)
Over 4.5 12.01% (-0.43)
Under 4.5 87.99% (+0.43)

First Half Winner

Liverpool 24.19% (-2.77)
Draw 43.6% (+1.65)
Nacional 32.21% (+1.13)

Team To Score First

Liverpool 39.93% (-1.04)
No Goal 8.56% (+0.04)
Nacional 51.51% (+1.00)

Corners

Over 8 56.38% (-0.97)
Equal 8 11.97% (+0.29)
Under 8 31.65% (+0.68)
Over 9 44.3% (-1.18)
Equal 9 12.08% (+0.22)
Under 9 43.62% (+0.97)
Over 10.5 33.16% (-1.27)
Under 10.5 66.83% (+1.25)

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 29.97% (-1.32)
Under 1.5 70.03% (+1.32)
Over 2.5 10.23% (-0.87)
Under 2.5 89.77% (+0.87)
Over 3.5 2.67% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 97.33% (+0.33)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 72.05% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 27.95% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 37.72% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 62.28% (-0.44)
Over 2.5 14.87% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 85.13% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 4.6% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.4% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Liverpool 31.23%
Draw 27.43%
Nacional 41.35%
Liverpool
1-0 @ 9.28% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.37)
2-0 @ 5.34% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.19)
Other @ 2.62% (-0.20)
Total : 31.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.56% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.31)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.13)
Total : 27.43%
Nacional
0-1 @ 11.18% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 9.26% (+0.26)
0-2 @ 7.03% (+0.28)
1-3 @ 3.78% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 3.39% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.08)
Other @ 4.55% (+0.13)
Total : 41.35%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 20, 2025 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 26, 2025 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Abel Hernandez 23' goal
  • Javier Vallejo 83' goal
  • goal Jeremia Recoba 9'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Baez 70'
  • goal Bruno Gustavo Arady Mata 76'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Sep 8, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Ruben Bentancourt 23' yellowcard
  • Christian Oliva 32' yellowcard
  • Diego Polenta 37' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Velazquez 40' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 44' goal
  • Diego Herazo 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Bentaberry 9'
  • goal <TBD> 14'
  • yellowcard Enzo Castillo 86'
  • yellowcard Alfonso de Luca Ibargoyen 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Jun 15, 2024 9.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Ruben Bentancourt 3' goal
  • Gaston Gonzalez 76' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 79' goal
  • yellowcard Renzo Machado 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Agustin Cayetano 71'
  • yellowcard Lucas Lemos 75'
  • goal Hebert Vergara 87'
  • yellowcard Hebert Vergara 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Feb 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Luciano Rodriguez 45'+1' goal
  • Lucas Wasilewsky 53' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Rodriguez Elduayen 68' yellowcard
  • Kevin Amaro 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 9'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 43'
  • goal Osinachi Ebere 64'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanabria 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 20, 2023 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Mateo Antoni 43' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 63' yellowcard
  • Mateo Antoni 74' redcard
  • Ruben Bentancourt 74' yellowcard
  • Miguel Samudio 80' yellowcard
  • Miguel Samudio 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Federico Martinez 40'