Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 14, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional vs Deportes Tolima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 11.00pm
Coquimbo 1 - 1 Nacional

Deportes Tolima

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 3.00am
Tolima 0 - 0 Universitario

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw has a probability of 27.01% and a win for Deportes Tolima has a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.62%) , while for a Deportes Tolima win it is 0-1 (8.89%).

Result

Nacional 46.79% (-0.04)
Draw 27.01%
Deportes Tolima 26.2% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.36% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 30.64% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 43.72%
Under 2.5 56.28%
Over 3.5 23.23%
Under 3.5 76.77%
Over 4.5 12.68% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.32% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Nacional 37.01%
Draw 42.23%
Deportes Tolima 20.76%

Team To Score First

Nacional 57.12%
No Goal 9.16% (+0.01)
Deportes Tolima 33.72% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.72% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 39.2% (-0.02)
Over 9 37.26% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 51.28% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 27.26% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 72.74% (-0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 40.94% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.06% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.35% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 82.65% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.15% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.85% (+0.01)

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5 59.36% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 40.64% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 24.79% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 75.21% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 7.76% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.24% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.08% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.92% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nacional 46.79%
Draw 27.02%
Deportes Tolima 26.2%
Nacional
1-0 @ 12.6%
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24%
Other @ 6.07% (-0.01)
Total : 46.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 27.02%
Deportes Tolima
0-1 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.22% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 2% (+0.02)
Total : 26.2%