Copa Libertadores
Gameweek
2
-
Maximiliano Silvera
46'
-
Maxi Gómez
48'
-
Sebastián Coates
64'
-
Agustín Dos Santos
85'
-
Nicolás López
87'
-
P. Núñez
90'+2'
-
Luciano Gonzalez
90'+4'
-
Edwar López
62'
-
Juan Torres
62'
-
Neifer Sánchez
76'
-
Shean Barbosa
76'
-
Sebastián Guzmán
76'
-
Sebastián Guzmán
77'
-
Neifer Sánchez
77'
-
Brayan Rovira
80'
Nacional vs Deportes Tolima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.35% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%) , while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result
Nacional
48.58%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
26.35%
Deportes Tolima
25.07%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
48.39%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 1.5
69.7%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
30.3%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
44.46%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
55.54%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
24.22%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
75.78%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
13.49%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
86.51%
▲
(+0.10)
First Half Winner
Nacional
38.39%
Draw
42.14%
Deportes Tolima
19.47%
Team To Score First
Nacional
58.74%
No Goal
8.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Deportes Tolima
32.29%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
48.66%
Equal 8
12.28%
Under 8
39.06%
Over 9
37.01%
Equal 9
11.65%
Under 9
51.34%
Over 10.5
26.87%
Under 10.5
73.13%
Nacional Goals
Over 1.5
42.43%
Under 1.5
57.57%
Over 2.5
18.32%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
81.68%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
6.54%
Under 3.5
93.46%
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5
58.15%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
41.85%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
24.29%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
75.71%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 2.5
7.86%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
92.14%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
2.26%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
97.74%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Nacional
48.57%
Draw
26.34%
Deportes Tolima
25.07%
Nacional
1-0
@
12.93%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 48.57%
2-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 48.57%
Draw
1-1
@
12.15%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.34%
0-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.34%
Deportes Tolima
0-1
@
8.38%
1-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 25.07%
1-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 25.07%