Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 11, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel

Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 10.30pm
Liverpool 0 - 2 Maldonado

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 12.30am
Nacional 0 - 1 Central Español

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 40.72%. A draw has a probability of 29.82% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado has a probability of 29.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.83%) , while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it is 1-0 (9.94%).

Result

Deportivo Maldonado 29.47%
Draw 29.82%
Nacional 40.72% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.5% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 33.5% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 40.02%
Under 2.5 59.98%
Over 3.5 19.1% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 80.9% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 9.3%
Under 4.5 90.7%

First Half Winner

Deportivo Maldonado 25.89%
Draw 44.72%
Nacional 29.4%

Team To Score First

Deportivo Maldonado 40.9% (-0.03)
No Goal 10.76% (+0.01)
Nacional 48.34% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.42% (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 34.5% (+0.03)
Over 9 41.52% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 46.58% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 30.78% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 69.22% (+0.02)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 1.5 26.38% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.62% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.13%
Under 2.5 91.87%
Over 3.5 1.94%
Under 3.5 98.06%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 70.46% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 29.54% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 34.5% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 65.5% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.5% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.5% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.77%
Under 3.5 96.23%

Score analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 29.48%
Draw 29.82%
Nacional 40.71%
Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.03% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 29.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.83% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.76% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 29.82%
Nacional
0-1 @ 12.81% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 7.62% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 40.71%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Nov 16, 2024 10.30pm
5
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Alexis Castro 6' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Rodriguez 11' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 65' goal
  • Christian Oliva 68' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pereyra 69' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Rodriguez 78' goal
  • Jeremia Recoba 88' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Nunez 23'
  • goal Diego Romero 70'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 75'
  • yellowcard Angel Rodriguez 79'
  • goal Sebastian Coates 83' (OG)
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
May 21, 2024 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Maximiliano Noble 22' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Noble 22' yellowcard
  • Hernan Menosse 60' yellowcard
  • Hernan Menosse 60' yellowcard
  • Diego Romero 86' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gonzalez 87' yellowcard
  • Diego Romero 87' yellowcard
  • Angel Rodriguez 87' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pereyra 88' yellowcard
  • Diego Polenta 88' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Cantera 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Izquierdo 20'
  • yellowcard Juan Izquierdo 20'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 32'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 32'
  • yellowcard Leandro Lozano 34'
  • yellowcard Leandro Lozano 34'
  • goal Mauricio Pereyra 49'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pereyra 66'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 66'
  • goal Diego Zabala 79'
  • goal Diego Zabala 79'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 85'
  • yellowcard Pablo Gonzalez 86'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 90'+3'
  • goal Diego Zabala 90'+5'
  • goal Gonzalo Carneiro 90'+5' (OG)
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Oct 24, 2023 12.15am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Diego Zabala 15' goal
  • Diego Zabala 17' goal
  • Franco Fagundez 28' yellowcard
  • Franco Fagundez 29' yellowcard
  • Antonio Galeano 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Fernandez 8'
  • yellowcard Tomas Fernandez 9'
  • yellowcard Angel Cayetano 33'
  • yellowcard Angel Cayetano 34'
  • goal Elias de Leon 40'
  • goal Elias de Leon Aristegui 42'
  • goal Elias de Leon 61'
  • yellowcard Elias de Leon 62'
  • yellowcard Santiago Cartagena 66'
  • yellowcard Agustin Alfaro 82'
  • goal Claudio Spinelli 85'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Jun 17, 2023 10.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Ignacio Ramirez 45'+2' goal
  • Federico Martinez 56' goal
  • Alfonso Trezza 75' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 86' goal
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 18, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Maximiliano Cantera 21' goal
  • Maximiliano Cantera 44' goal
  • Angel Cayetano 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Angel Cayetano 62' redcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Marichal 4'
  • redcard Nicolas Marichal 20'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Rodriguez 26'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Gigliotti 56'
  • goal Ignacio Ramirez 62'
  • yellowcard Sergio Rochet 88'