Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 4, 2026 12.30am
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional vs Central Español - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 10.30pm
Torque 2 - 3 Nacional

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 1.00am
Central Español 2 - 1 Maldonado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw has a probability of 27.14% and a win for Central Español has a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.9%) , while for a Central Español win it is 0-1 (8.06%).

Result

Nacional 52.67%
Draw 27.14%
Central Español 20.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 33.37% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 39.96%
Under 2.5 60.04%
Over 3.5 19.27%
Under 3.5 80.73%
Over 4.5 10.25%
Under 4.5 89.75%

First Half Winner

Nacional 37.63%
Draw 41.7%
Central Español 20.67%

Team To Score First

Nacional 57.17%
No Goal 10.23%
Central Español 32.6%

Corners

Over 8 56.71% (-0.19)
Equal 8 11.4% (-0.03)
Under 8 31.88% (+0.21)
Over 9 45.19% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.52% (-0.06)
Under 9 43.29% (+0.19)
Over 10.5 34.48% (-0.10)
Under 10.5 65.52% (+0.09)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 42.42% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.58% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.77% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.23% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.08% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.92% (-0.02)

Central Español Goals

Over 0.5 53.07% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 46.93% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 18.18%
Under 1.5 81.82%
Over 2.5 4.23%
Under 2.5 95.77%
Over 3.5 0.95%
Under 3.5 99.05%

Score analysis

Nacional 52.67%
Draw 27.14%
Central Español 20.19%
Nacional
1-0 @ 15.08%
2-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.07% (+0.02)
Total : 52.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.14%
Central Español
0-1 @ 8.06%
1-2 @ 4.98%
0-2 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.19%