Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 4, 2026 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Nicolás Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolás López 57' yellowcard
  • Juan Pintado 57' yellowcard
  • Nicolás López 58' yellowcard
  • Juan Pintado 58' yellowcard
  • Juan Cruz de los Santos 68' yellowcard
  • Juan Cruz de los Santos 69' yellowcard
  • Baltasar Barcia 80' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Muñoz 54'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Muniz 62'
  • yellowcard Juan Ignacio Dupont 74'
  • yellowcard Lucas Pino 74'
  • yellowcard Juan Ignacio Dupont 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Pino 75'
  • yellowcard Facundo Sosa 81'
  • yellowcard Facundo Sosa 82'

Nacional vs Central Español - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 10.30pm
Torque 2 - 3 Nacional

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 1.00am
Central Español 2 - 1 Maldonado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.44% and a win for Central Español had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%) , while for a Central Español win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 55.37% ▲ (+2.70)
Draw 26.44% ▼ (-0.70)
Central Español 18.14% ▼ (-2.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.32% ▼ (-0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.1% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 32.9% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 40.25% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 59.75% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 19.13% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 80.87% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 10.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 89.8% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Nacional 38.72% ▲ (+1.09)
Draw 42.24% ▲ (+0.54)
Central Español 19.04% ▼ (-1.64)

Team To Score First

Nacional 59.59% ▲ (+2.43)
No Goal 9.88% ▼ (-0.35)
Central Español 30.53% ▼ (-2.08)

Corners

Over 8 57.4% ▲ (+0.69)
Equal 8 11.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 31.17% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 9 45.78% ▲ (+0.60)
Equal 9 11.62% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 9 42.6% ▼ (-0.69)
Over 10.5 34.94% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 10.5 65.06% ▼ (-0.46)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 44.39% ▲ (+1.97)
Under 1.5 55.61% ▼ (-1.97)
Over 2.5 18.7% ▲ (+0.93)
Under 2.5 81.3% ▼ (-0.94)
Over 3.5 6.3% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 93.7% ▼ (-0.22)

Central Español Goals

Over 0.5 51.42% ▼ (-1.65)
Under 0.5 48.58% ▲ (+1.65)
Over 1.5 16.62% ▼ (-1.56)
Under 1.5 83.38% ▲ (+1.57)
Over 2.5 3.65% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 2.5 96.35% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 3.5 0.72% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 99.28% ▲ (+0.24)

Score analysis

Nacional 55.37%
Draw 26.44%
Central Español 18.15%
Nacional
1-0 @ 15.55% ▲ (+0.48)
2-0 @ 11.25% ▲ (+0.78)
2-1 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.47)
3-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.50)
3-1 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.22)
Total : 55.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.35)
2-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.44%
Central Español
0-1 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.64)
1-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.40)
0-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.49)
1-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.71% ▼ (-0.23)
Total : 18.15%