Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.44% and a win for Central Español had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%) , while for a Central Español win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.