Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 8, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso

Coquimbo Unido vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Coquimbo Unido

All competitions

Nacional

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coquimbo Unido win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 33.22% and a draw has a probability of 26.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coquimbo Unido win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (9.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.5%).

Result

Coquimbo Unido 40.16%
Draw 26.62% (-0.04)
Nacional 33.22% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.65% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.07% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 27.93% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 47.3% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 52.7% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 25.25% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 74.75% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 13.62% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 86.38% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Coquimbo Unido 30%
Draw 42.71%
Nacional 27.29%

Team To Score First

Coquimbo Unido 51.14% (+0.04)
No Goal 8.12% (-0.06)
Nacional 40.74% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 49.96% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 38.4% (+0.02)
Over 9 38.79% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 50.04% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 28.91% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 71.09% (+0.02)

Coquimbo Unido Goals

Over 1.5 37.63% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.37% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 15.21% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 84.79% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.67% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.33% (-0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 66.52% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 33.48% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 32.34% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 67.66% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 11.94% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 88.06% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.68% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.32% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Coquimbo Unido 40.15%
Draw 26.62%
Nacional 33.22%
Coquimbo Unido
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.74% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.58% (+0.04)
Total : 40.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.62%
Nacional
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.57% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.59% (+0.05)
Total : 33.22%