Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.64% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%) , while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.