Copa Libertadores
Feb 27, 2026 12.30am
0
1
ET Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
  • Luis Sandoval 59' yellowcard
  • Jersson González 59' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Guzmán 59' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Guzmán 60' yellowcard
  • Jader Valencia 76' yellowcard
  • Juan Mera 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Daniel González Cova 64'
  • yellowcard Jose Balza 72'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Lusnig 73'
  • yellowcard Luis Zuniga 84'
  • yellowcard Luis Daniel González Cova 90'+4'

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Tachira - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 12.30am
Tachira 0 - 1 Tolima

Deportivo Tachira

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 12.30am
Tachira 0 - 1 Tolima

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.64% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%) , while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Deportes Tolima 47.6% (+0.04)
Draw 26.64%
Deportivo Tachira 25.79%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.44%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.17% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.34% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.66% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.05% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.95% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.25% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.75% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Deportes Tolima 32.87%
Draw 45.43%
Deportivo Tachira 21.7%

Team To Score First

Deportes Tolima 56.84% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.7% (-0.02)
Deportivo Tachira 34.46%

Corners

Over 8 46.72%
Equal 8 12.17%
Under 8 41.1%
Over 9 35.35%
Equal 9 11.37%
Under 9 53.27%
Over 10.5 25.58%
Under 10.5 74.42%

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 1.5 42.43% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.57% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.02% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.98% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.32% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.68% (-0.01)

Deportivo Tachira Goals

Over 0.5 59.9% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.1% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.06% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.94% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.14% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.86% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.14% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.86% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Deportes Tolima 47.59%
Draw 26.65%
Deportivo Tachira 25.79%
Deportes Tolima
1-0 @ 12.16% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 8.76%
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 2.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.24% (+0.01)
Total : 47.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.65%
Deportivo Tachira
0-1 @ 8.34%
1-2 @ 6.13%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.06% (+0.02)
Total : 25.79%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Feb 20, 2026 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
  • Jairo Damián Villalpando Modesto 53' yellowcard
  • Franco Provenzano 77' yellowcard
  • Luis Daniel González Cova 78' yellowcard
  • Jose Balza 85' yellowcard
  • Pablo Camacho 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kelvin Flórez 60'
  • yellowcard Juan Torres 60'
  • yellowcard Brayan Rovira 60'
  • goal Kelvin Flórez 65'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Guzmán 77'
  • yellowcard Jader Valencia 77'
  • yellowcard 77'