Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.32% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%) , while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.