Copa Libertadores
Mar 12, 2026 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
  • Junior Hernández 38' goal
  • Élan Ricardo 62' yellowcard
  • Jader Valencia 78' yellowcard
  • Juan Torres 87' goal
  • Juan Mera 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pinto 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Tapia 58'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Garrido 83'
  • yellowcard Thiago Vecino 83'
  • yellowcard Bastián Yáñez 83'

Deportes Tolima vs O'Higgins - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 5, 2026 12.30am
O'Higgins 1 - 0 Tolima

O'Higgins

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 5, 2026 12.30am
O'Higgins 1 - 0 Tolima

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for O'Higgins had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest O'Higgins win was 0-1 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Deportes Tolima 48.62% (+0.08)
Draw 24.67% (+0.04)
O'Higgins 26.74% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.87% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.4% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 23.6% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 52.75% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 47.25% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 30.05% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 69.95% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 17.26% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 82.74% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Deportes Tolima 35.92%
Draw 42.41%
O'Higgins 21.67%

Team To Score First

Deportes Tolima 59.08% (-0.03)
No Goal 6.38% (+0.04)
O'Higgins 34.54% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 49.48% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 38.63% (+0.03)
Over 9 38.12% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 50.52% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 28.13% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 71.87% (+0.02)

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 1.5 46.99% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 53.01% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 21.72% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.28% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.18%
Under 3.5 91.82%

O'Higgins Goals

Over 0.5 62.61% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 37.39% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 29.32% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 70.68% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 10.49% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 89.51% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.26% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.74% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Deportes Tolima 48.61%
Draw 24.66%
O'Higgins 26.75%
Deportes Tolima
1-0 @ 10.27% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.13% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.61% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.02%
Total : 48.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.38% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.66%
O'Higgins
0-1 @ 6.97% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.1% (-0.05)
Total : 26.75%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Mar 5, 2026 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio El Teniente
  • Nicolas Garrido 43' yellowcard
  • Francisco González 45'+8' goal
  • Thiago Vecino 75' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Tapia 87' yellowcard
  • Bastián Yáñez 87' yellowcard
  • Arnaldo Castillo 87' yellowcard
  • Benjamín Schamine 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kelvin Flórez 6'
  • yellowcard Shean Barbosa 46'
  • yellowcard Juan Mera 46'
  • yellowcard Jader Valencia 58'
  • yellowcard Juan Torres 84'
  • yellowcard Juan Torres 86'