Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a O'Higgins win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a O'Higgins win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Deportes Tolima win was 0-1 (9.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.