Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Universitario had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Universitario win was 0-1 (9.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.