Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 8, 2026 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
  • Jersson González 46' yellowcard
  • Yordan Osorio 67' yellowcard
  • Néifer Sánchez 78' yellowcard
  • Cristian Arrieta 87' yellowcard
  • Edwar López 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel 52'
  • yellowcard Edison Flores 52'
  • yellowcard Bryan Reyna 71'
  • yellowcard Héctor Fértoli 77'
  • yellowcard Jesús Castillo 77'
  • yellowcard Horacio Calcaterra 77'

Deportes Tolima vs Universitario - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

All competitions

Universitario

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Universitario had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Universitario win was 0-1 (9.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Deportes Tolima 41.67% (-1.19)
Draw 28.11% (-0.34)
Universitario 30.25% (+1.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.59% (+0.94)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.57% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 31.43% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 42.39% (+1.18)
Under 2.5 57.61% (-1.18)
Over 3.5 20.9% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 79.1% (-0.80)
Over 4.5 10.69% (+0.51)
Under 4.5 89.31% (-0.51)

First Half Winner

Deportes Tolima 31.28% (-0.38)
Draw 44.04% (-0.99)
Universitario 24.68% (+1.36)

Team To Score First

Deportes Tolima 49.29% (-1.72)
No Goal 9.6% (-0.34)
Universitario 41.11% (+2.04)

Corners

Over 8 43.33% (-0.21)
Equal 8 12.11% (-0.21)
Under 8 44.57% (+0.42)
Over 9 32.32%
Equal 9 11% (-0.22)
Under 9 56.67% (+0.21)
Over 10.5 23.11% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 76.89% (-0.18)

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 1.5 36.34% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 63.66% (+0.31)
Over 2.5 13.65% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 86.35% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 4.15% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.85% (+0.09)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5 62.92% (+1.53)
Under 0.5 37.08% (-1.53)
Over 1.5 27.58% (+1.79)
Under 1.5 72.42% (-1.79)
Over 2.5 9.08% (+0.92)
Under 2.5 90.92% (-0.91)
Over 3.5 2.4% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 97.6% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Deportes Tolima 41.66%
Draw 28.12%
Universitario 30.24%
Deportes Tolima
1-0 @ 12.14% (-0.53)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.37)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.87% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.08% (-0.10)
Total : 41.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 9.6% (-0.34)
2-2 @ 4.41% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.02)
Total : 28.12%
Universitario
0-1 @ 9.71% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.17% (+0.44)
0-2 @ 5.05% (+0.26)
1-3 @ 2.35% (+0.21)
0-3 @ 1.99% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.18)
Other @ 2.33% (+0.31)
Total : 30.24%