Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.96% and a win for Universidad de Chile had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.97%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%) , while for a Universidad de Chile win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.