Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 2, 2026 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • Federico Martínez 58' goal
  • Ramiro Degregorio 61' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Degregorio 70' goal
  • Facundo Barceló 77' yellowcard
  • Matías Mir 77' yellowcard
  • Facundo Barceló 87' yellowcard
  • Renzo Machado 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Facundo Perdomo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastián Fernández 59'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Azambuja 75'
  • yellowcard Maicol Ferreira 75'
  • yellowcard Alexander Velázquez 75'
  • yellowcard Facundo Balatti 85'

Liverpool vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 4.00pm
Juventud 1 - 1 Liverpool

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 11.00pm
Nacional 1 - 2 Danubio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Liverpool 39.79% (+0.07)
Draw 28.5% (+0.02)
Danubio 31.76% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.2%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.66% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 33.34% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 40.68%
Under 2.5 59.32%
Over 3.5 20.34% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 79.66% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.11% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 89.89% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Liverpool 31.12% (+0.02)
Draw 46.13% (-0.03)
Danubio 22.76% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Liverpool 49.37%
No Goal 10.55% (+0.02)
Danubio 40.08% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 48.78% (+0.06)
Equal 8 12.71%
Under 8 38.51% (-0.06)
Over 9 36.7% (+0.05)
Equal 9 12.08% (+0.01)
Under 9 51.22% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 26.23% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 73.77% (-0.05)

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 34.07% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 65.93% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.25% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87.75% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.47% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.53% (-0.02)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 63.26% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.74% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 28.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.69% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 9.09% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.91% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.36%
Under 3.5 97.64%

Score analysis

Liverpool 39.8%
Draw 28.51%
Danubio 31.75%
Liverpool
1-0 @ 12.47% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 7.49% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.37% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.46% (+0.01)
Total : 39.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 10.55% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.51%
Danubio
0-1 @ 10.38% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 31.75%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 1, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Lucas Sanseviero 8' goal
  • goal Abel Hernandez 11'
  • yellowcard Lucas Wasilewsky 76'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Cristhian Tizon 1' goal
  • Alejandro Apud 61' redcard
  • Alejandro Apud 61' yellowcard
  • Santiago Romero 64' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Fernandez 69' yellowcard
  • Matias Fracchia 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edgarl Elizalde 25'
  • yellowcard Hugo Quintana 49'
  • yellowcard Christian Tabo 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jul 28, 2024 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Ramiro Brazionis 25' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Cantera 42' goal
  • Ignacio Pintos 55' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Rossi 66' goal
  • Kevin Lewis 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Rodriguez 32'
  • yellowcard Lucas Lemos 38'
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta Moreno 57'
  • yellowcard Franco Nicola Albanell 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Mar 10, 2024 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Renzo Machado 27' goal
  • Lucas Lemos 54' yellowcard
  • Kevin Amaro 88' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Fernandez 24'
  • goal Sebastian Fernandez 47'
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 63'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Pablo Siles 18' yellowcard
  • Alan Medina 45'+1' goal
  • Matias Ocampo 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 42'
  • yellowcard Jannenson Sarmiento 86'
  • yellowcard Jannenson Sarmiento 86'
  • redcard Jannenson Sarmiento 90'+3'
  • redcard Jannenson Sarmiento 90'+3'