Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.