Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Danubio
Apr 19, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Maldonado
  • Sebastián Fernández 14' goal
  • Martín Jourdan 55' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Azambuja 55' yellowcard
  • Enzo Cabrera 59' yellowcard
  • Juan Millán 71' yellowcard
  • Enrique Femia 71' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Tabó 51'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde   67'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Fuica 67'
  • yellowcard Sebastián González 71'
  • yellowcard Guillermo López 80'
  • yellowcard Adrian Vila 80'

Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 2.00pm
Central Español 2 - 2 Danubio

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 11.00pm
Maldonado 4 - 2 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.

Result

Danubio 37.78% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 29.57% ▼ (-0.17)
Deportivo Maldonado 32.65% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.2% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.96% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 34.04% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 38.9% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 61.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 18.63% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 81.37% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 9.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.86% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Danubio 27.37% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 46.56% ▼ (-0.23)
Deportivo Maldonado 26.07% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Danubio 42.49% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 10.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Deportivo Maldonado 46.65% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 51.77% ▼ (-0.26)
Equal 8 12.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 35.91% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 9 39.78% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 48.23% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 10.5 29.12% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 10.5 70.88% ▲ (+0.15)

Danubio Goals

Over 1.5 31.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.84% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.12% ▼ (-0.04)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 64.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 35.76% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 1.5 28.1% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 71.9% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 9.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 90.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Danubio 37.79%
Draw 29.58%
Deportivo Maldonado 32.65%
Danubio
1-0 @ 12.36% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 37.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.24% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 10.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.58%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 10.84% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.65%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Maldonado
Dec 2, 2024 10.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Danubio
  • Juan Martin Ginzo 14' goal
  • Renato Cesar 32' yellowcard
  • Bruno Nahuel Centeno Fernandez 44' goal
  • Maximiliano Noble 61' goal
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 29'
  • goal Gabriel Leyes 45'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Danubio
Jun 3, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
Maldonado
  • Facundo Silvestre 10' yellowcard
  • Mateo Peralta 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Ancheta 66' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Fernandez 79' goal
  • yellowcard Pablo Gonzalez 24'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 37'
  • yellowcard Lucas Nunez 59'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Diana 85'
  • goal Mauro Goicoechea 89' (OG)
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Maldonado
Nov 5, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Danubio
  • Tomas Fernandez 57' goal
  • yellowcard Vilinton Branda 44'
  • goal Mauro Zarate 62'
  • goal Gonzalo Bueno 83'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Danubio
Mar 25, 2023 1.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Maldonado
  • Guillermo May 18' goal
  • Leandro Sosa 32' goal
  • Guillermo May 53' goal
  • Guillermo May 70' goal
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Danubio
Aug 7, 2022 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Maldonado
  • Sebastian Fernandez 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angel Rodriguez 26'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 76'
  • yellowcard Matias Tellechea 87'
  • yellowcard Jose Valentin Amoroso Guerra 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Maldonado
Feb 15, 2022 12.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Danubio
  • Angel Rodriguez 11' yellowcard
  • Facundo Tealde 23' yellowcard
  • Angel Rodriguez 32' goal
  • Robinson Ferreira 88' yellowcard
  • goal Emanuel Hernandez 19'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Hernandez 27'
  • yellowcard Diego Vicente 38'
  • yellowcard Geronimo Bortagaray Derregibus 61'
  • yellowcard Geronimo Bortagaray 61'
  • yellowcard Denis Olivera 81'
  • goal Sebastian Fernandez 90'+5'

Form Data

Central Español 2 - 2 Danubio
Danubio 1 - 1 Torque
Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Danubio
Danubio 0 - 0 Defensor
Wanderers 2 - 1 Danubio
Danubio 4 - 1 Juventud
Maldonado 4 - 2 Nacional
Liverpool 0 - 2 Maldonado
Central Español 2 - 1 Maldonado
Maldonado 1 - 0 Torque
Cerro Largo 3 - 1 Maldonado
Maldonado 1 - 0 Defensor