Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Danubio
Apr 19, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Maldonado

Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 2.00pm
Central Español 2 - 2 Danubio

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 11.00pm
Maldonado 4 - 2 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Danubio win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado has a probability of 32.7% and a draw has a probability of 29.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win is 0-1 (10.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (14.29%).

Result

Danubio 37.58% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 29.73% ▼ (-0.67)
Deportivo Maldonado 32.7% ▲ (+0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.34% ▲ (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.07% ▲ (+0.93)
Under 1.5 33.93% ▼ (-0.93)
Over 2.5 38.99% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 2.5 60.96% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 18.68% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 81.32% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 4.5 9.15% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 90.85% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Danubio 27.16% ▼ (-1.31)
Draw 46.79% ▲ (+0.09)
Deportivo Maldonado 26.04% ▲ (+1.22)

Team To Score First

Danubio 42.42% ▼ (-3.68)
No Goal 10.85% ▼ (-0.37)
Deportivo Maldonado 46.73% ▲ (+4.03)

Corners

Over 8 52.03% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.35% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 8 35.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 40% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 9 12.03% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 9 47.97% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 29.27% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 10.5 70.73% ▲ (+0.35)

Danubio Goals

Over 1.5 31.49% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 68.51% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 10.81% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 89.19% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 2.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 97.15% ▲ (+0.11)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 64.4% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 0.5 35.6% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 1.5 28.27% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 1.5 71.73% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 2.5 9.15% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 90.85% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 2.4% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.6% ▼ (-0.09)

Score analysis

Danubio 37.58%
Draw 29.74%
Deportivo Maldonado 32.69%
Danubio
1-0 @ 12.28% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 37.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.29% ▲ (+0.15)
0-0 @ 10.85% ▼ (-0.37)
2-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 29.74%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 10.81% ▼ (-0.39)
1-2 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.35)
1-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 32.69%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Maldonado
Dec 2, 2024 10.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Danubio
  • Juan Martin Ginzo 14' goal
  • Renato Cesar 32' yellowcard
  • Bruno Nahuel Centeno Fernandez 44' goal
  • Maximiliano Noble 61' goal
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 29'
  • goal Gabriel Leyes 45'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Danubio
Jun 3, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
Maldonado
  • Facundo Silvestre 10' yellowcard
  • Mateo Peralta 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Ancheta 66' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Fernandez 79' goal
  • yellowcard Pablo Gonzalez 24'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 37'
  • yellowcard Lucas Nunez 59'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Diana 85'
  • goal Mauro Goicoechea 89' (OG)
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Maldonado
Nov 5, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Danubio
  • Tomas Fernandez 57' goal
  • yellowcard Vilinton Branda 44'
  • goal Mauro Zarate 62'
  • goal Gonzalo Bueno 83'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Danubio
Mar 25, 2023 1.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Maldonado
  • Guillermo May 18' goal
  • Leandro Sosa 32' goal
  • Guillermo May 53' goal
  • Guillermo May 70' goal
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Danubio
Aug 7, 2022 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Maldonado
  • Sebastian Fernandez 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angel Rodriguez 26'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 76'
  • yellowcard Matias Tellechea 87'
  • yellowcard Jose Valentin Amoroso Guerra 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Maldonado
Feb 15, 2022 12.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Danubio
  • Angel Rodriguez 11' yellowcard
  • Facundo Tealde 23' yellowcard
  • Angel Rodriguez 32' goal
  • Robinson Ferreira 88' yellowcard
  • goal Emanuel Hernandez 19'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Hernandez 27'
  • yellowcard Diego Vicente 38'
  • yellowcard Geronimo Bortagaray Derregibus 61'
  • yellowcard Geronimo Bortagaray 61'
  • yellowcard Denis Olivera 81'
  • goal Sebastian Fernandez 90'+5'

Form Data

Central Español 2 - 2 Danubio
Danubio 1 - 1 Torque
Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Danubio
Danubio 0 - 0 Defensor
Wanderers 2 - 1 Danubio
Danubio 4 - 1 Juventud
Maldonado 4 - 2 Nacional
Liverpool 0 - 2 Maldonado
Central Español 2 - 1 Maldonado
Maldonado 1 - 0 Torque
Cerro Largo 3 - 1 Maldonado
Maldonado 1 - 0 Defensor