Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2026 2.00pm
Parque Luis Méndez Piana

Central Español vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 12.30am
Nacional 0 - 1 Central Español

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 7.30pm
Danubio 1 - 1 Torque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Central Español win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Danubio has a probability of 33.08% and a draw has a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Español win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Danubio win is 0-1 (11.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.4%).

Result

Central Español 36.52% (-0.05)
Draw 30.4% (+0.05)
Danubio 33.08% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.94%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.45% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 35.55% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 38.73% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 61.27% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 18.72% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 81.28% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.12% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.88% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Central Español 28.78%
Draw 47.84%
Danubio 23.38%

Team To Score First

Central Español 48% (-0.04)
No Goal 11.57% (+0.02)
Danubio 40.43% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 47.9%
Equal 8 12.75%
Under 8 39.35%
Over 9 35.87% (-0.02)
Equal 9 12.03%
Under 9 52.1%
Over 10.5 25.51%
Under 10.5 74.49%

Central Español Goals

Over 1.5 31.04% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 68.96% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 10.81% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.19% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.91% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.09% (+0.02)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 64.39% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 35.61% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 28.54% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 71.46% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.24% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.76% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.56% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.44% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Central Español 36.52%
Draw 30.4%
Danubio 33.08%
Central Español
1-0 @ 12.3% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.67% (-0.03)
Total : 36.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.4% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.57% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.24% (+0.01)
Total : 30.4%
Danubio
0-1 @ 11.68% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 5.8% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.32% (+0.01)
Total : 33.08%