Uruguayan Primera Division
Apr 12, 2026 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Luis Méndez Piana
  • Facundo Sosa 64' yellowcard
  • Facundo Sosa 65' goal
  • Diego Vera 65' yellowcard
  • Juan Ignacio Dupont 77' yellowcard
  • Sander Navarro 77' yellowcard
  • Raúl Tarragona 83' goal
  • Lucas Pino 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Rodolfo 4' (OG)
  • yellowcard Leandro Sosa  56'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Azambuja 67'
  • yellowcard Enzo Cabrera 67'
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Azambuja 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Rodríguez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Azambuja 90'+3'

Central Español vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 12.30am
Nacional 0 - 1 Central Español

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 7.30pm
Danubio 1 - 1 Torque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Español win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 30.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Español win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (11.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Central Español 36.46% (-0.07)
Draw 30.46% (+0.07)
Danubio 33.08%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.79% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.28% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 35.72% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 38.55% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 61.45% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 18.45% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 81.55% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 8.95% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 91.05% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Central Español 28.78%
Draw 47.84%
Danubio 23.38%

Team To Score First

Central Español 47.97% (-0.04)
No Goal 11.66% (+0.09)
Danubio 40.37% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 47.67% (-0.23)
Equal 8 12.77% (+0.02)
Under 8 39.56% (+0.22)
Over 9 35.65% (-0.22)
Equal 9 12.02% (-0.01)
Under 9 52.33% (+0.23)
Over 10.5 25.31% (-0.21)
Under 10.5 74.69% (+0.21)

Central Español Goals

Over 1.5 30.84% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 69.16% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 10.68% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 89.32% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.85% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.15% (+0.07)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 64.36% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 35.64% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 28.36% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 71.64% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 9.14% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 90.86% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.51% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 97.49% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Central Español 36.46%
Draw 30.47%
Danubio 33.08%
Central Español
1-0 @ 12.32% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.98% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.58% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.63% (-0.05)
Total : 36.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.47% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 11.66% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 30.47%
Danubio
0-1 @ 11.75% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.16% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.29% (-0.03)
Total : 33.08%