Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Español win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 30.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Español win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (11.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.